Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

1. FC Saarbrücken v FC Ingolstadt 04

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

1. FC Saarbrücken (Local)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -55.56%
Kelly -125.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.84%0.00%0.00%50.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.761.751.8057.80%56.90%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -28.57%
Kelly -40.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.46%0.00%0.00%26.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.353.333.5030.77%29.85%30.08%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -26.32%
Kelly -35.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.80%0.00%0.00%26.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.533.603.8032.26%28.37%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: 1. FC Saarbrücken (Local): 0.00%; FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visit): 0.00%; Draw: 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%10.4%2026-03-26 18:38
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.89%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%13.6%2026-03-26 15:34
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.06%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.53%16.5%2026-03-26 15:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 47.84%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.46%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.70%20.8%2026-03-27 18:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.