Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

1. FC Saarbrücken v Alemannia Aachen

2026-11-28 13:00 UTC — 3. Liga - Germany

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

39%

36%

26%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

1. FC Saarbrücken (Local)

Prediction 38.61%2.59fair odd

EV -7.33%

Edge -3.05%

Kelly -5.23%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

38.61%38.61%38.61%38.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.402.402.402.4041.67%41.67%41.67%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alemannia Aachen (Visit)

Prediction 35.64%2.81fair odd

EV -7.33%

Edge -2.82%

Kelly -4.58%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

35.64%35.64%35.64%35.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.602.602.602.6038.46%38.46%38.46%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.74%3.88fair odd

EV -7.33%

Edge -2.04%

Kelly -2.82%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

25.74%25.74%25.74%25.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.603.603.603.6027.78%27.78%27.78%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: 1. FC Saarbrücken (Local): 38.61%; Alemannia Aachen (Visit): 35.64%; Draw: 25.74%. For 1. FC Saarbrücken (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.40, with an expected value of -7.33%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.33%E -3.05%K -5.23%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.33%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-11-08 22:45

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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