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Westfalia Rhynern v Dynamo Dresden
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Westfalia Rhynern (Local)
Prediction 7.14%14.01fair odd
EV +14.24%
Edge +0.890%
Kelly +0.949%
Growth +0.135%
assuming max odds 16.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.85%7.10%7.14%8.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
11.0013.9714.0016.009.09%7.16%7.14%6.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dynamo Dresden (Visit)
Prediction 83.02%1.20fair odd
EV -3.70%
Edge -3.19%
Kelly -23.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.81%83.04%83.00%84.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.111.111.1693.46%90.30%90.09%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 9.84%10.16fair odd
EV +8.22%
Edge +0.748%
Kelly +0.822%
Growth +0.068%
assuming max odds 11.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.64%9.86%9.87%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.009.279.5011.0012.50%10.79%10.53%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Westfalia Rhynern (Local): 7.14%; Dynamo Dresden (Visit): 83.02%; Draw: 9.84%. For Westfalia Rhynern (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 14.01. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 16.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.24%.
Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.89%EV +14.24%E +0.890%K +0.949%G +0.135% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.18%EV -7.02%E -6.26%K -58.47%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.92%EV -6.53%E -0.688%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-23 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.85%EV +14.24%E +0.890%K +0.949%G +0.135% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.30%EV -7.85%E -7.07%K -71.33%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -6.53%E -0.688%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-23 13:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.85%EV +14.24%E +0.890%K +0.949%G +0.135% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.30%EV -7.85%E -7.07%K -71.33%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -6.53%E -0.688%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-23 13:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.85%EV +14.24%E +0.890%K +0.949%G +0.135% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.30%EV -7.85%E -7.07%K -71.33%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -6.53%E -0.688%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-23 13:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.85%EV +14.24%E +0.890%K +0.949%G +0.135% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.30%EV -7.85%E -7.07%K -71.33%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -6.53%E -0.688%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-23 13:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +7.10%E +0.473%K +0.507%G +0.036% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.76%EV -6.19%E -5.47%K -47.58%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -16.37%E -1.93%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-23 12:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV +7.10%E +0.473%K +0.507%G +0.036% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.77%EV -9.51%E -8.72%K -105.63%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV -11.45%E -1.27%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-23 13:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -0.041%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.19%E -5.47%K -47.58%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.62%EV -13.42%E -1.53%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-23 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.36%EV -0.041%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 83.17%EV -11.17%E -10.44%K -159.53%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.47%EV -16.37%E -1.93%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-23 13:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.36%EV -0.041%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 83.17%EV -11.17%E -10.44%K -159.53%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.47%EV -16.37%E -1.93%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-23 13:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.36%EV -0.041%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 83.17%EV -11.17%E -10.44%K -159.53%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.47%EV -16.37%E -1.93%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-23 13:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -7.18%E -0.552%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.06%EV -6.19%E -5.47%K -47.58%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +8.22%E +0.748%K +0.822%G +0.068% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 11:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -7.18%E -0.552%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.05%EV -7.02%E -6.26%K -58.47%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -6.53%E -0.688%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-23 13:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -7.18%E -0.552%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.24%EV -7.85%E -7.07%K -71.33%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -16.37%E -1.93%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-23 13:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV -7.18%E -0.552%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.96%EV -10.34%E -9.57%K -129.21%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV -1.61%E -0.161%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-23 13:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.66%EV -10.75%E -0.860%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.52%EV -3.70%E -3.19%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.82%EV -4.07%E -0.418%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-23 11:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -10.75%E -0.860%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.02%E -6.26%K -58.47%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -6.53%E -0.688%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 12:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.97%EV -17.89%E -1.56%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.30%EV -8.68%E -7.89%K -86.76%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.73%EV +3.30%E +0.315%K +0.348%G +0.011% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 13:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.08%EV -21.46%E -1.95%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 80.81%EV -8.68%E -7.89%K -86.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -21.29%E -2.66%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-23 12:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.