Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Westfalia Rhynern v Dynamo Dresden

2026-08-23 13:30 UTC — DFB-Pokal

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Westfalia Rhynern (Local)

Prediction 5.57%17.95fair odd
EV +5.83%
Edge +0.307%
Kelly +0.324%
Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 19.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.94%5.81%5.58%7.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
13.0016.8817.0019.007.69%5.92%5.88%5.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dynamo Dresden (Visit)

Prediction 84.05%1.19fair odd
EV -4.19%
Edge -3.67%
Kelly -29.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.84%83.82%84.13%86.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.091.091.1495.24%91.84%91.74%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 10.38%9.63fair odd
EV +9.02%
Edge +0.859%
Kelly +0.950%
Growth +0.086%

assuming max odds 10.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.82%10.36%10.29%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.259.549.5010.5012.12%10.48%10.53%9.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Westfalia Rhynern (Local): 5.57%; Dynamo Dresden (Visit): 84.05%; Draw: 10.38%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.63. 7 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 10.50, producing a positive expected value of +9.02%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV +5.83%E +0.307%K +0.324%G +0.019%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.12%EV -8.39%E -7.70%K -93.21%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV +9.02%E +0.859%K +0.950%G +0.086%6.5%2026-08-20 14:59
ATG (SE)🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV +5.83%E +0.307%K +0.324%G +0.019%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.12%EV -8.39%E -7.70%K -93.21%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV +9.02%E +0.859%K +0.950%G +0.086%6.5%2026-08-20 14:59
Svenska Spel🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV +5.83%E +0.307%K +0.324%G +0.019%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.12%EV -8.39%E -7.70%K -93.21%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.94%EV +9.02%E +0.859%K +0.950%G +0.086%6.5%2026-08-20 14:59
Winamax (DE)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -16.45%E -1.10%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.00%EV -8.39%E -7.70%K -93.21%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV +9.02%E +0.859%K +0.950%G +0.086%7.9%2026-08-20 14:58
Tipico (DE)🎯18.00I 5.56%NM 5.22%EV +0.263%E +0.015%K +0.015%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.39%EV -7.55%E -6.86%K -75.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.39%EV +3.83%E +0.383%K +0.426%G +0.016%6.5%2026-08-20 14:59
LeoVegas🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.51%EV -5.31%E -0.312%K -0.332%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.13%EV -7.55%E -6.86%K -75.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.36%EV +3.83%E +0.383%K +0.426%G +0.016%6.8%2026-08-20 14:59
Grosvenor🎯18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%EV +0.263%E +0.015%K +0.015%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 85.73%EV -10.07%E -9.41%K -143.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV +3.83%E +0.383%K +0.426%G +0.016%9.0%2026-08-20 14:59
BetMGM🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.65%EV -5.31%E -0.312%K -0.332%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.24%EV -4.19%E -3.67%K -29.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.11%EV -1.36%E -0.143%K -0.160%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-20 14:59
Unibet (UK)🎯18.00I 5.56%NM 5.19%EV +0.263%E +0.015%K +0.015%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.97%EV -7.55%E -6.86%K -75.49%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -1.36%E -0.143%K -0.160%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-20 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.27%EV -5.31%E -0.312%K -0.332%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 85.30%EV -11.75%E -11.19%K -235.02%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.43%EV -1.36%E -0.143%K -0.160%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-20 14:59
Virgin Bet🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.27%EV -5.31%E -0.312%K -0.332%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 85.30%EV -11.75%E -11.19%K -235.02%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.43%EV -1.36%E -0.143%K -0.160%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-20 14:59
LiveScore Bet🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.27%EV -5.31%E -0.312%K -0.332%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 85.30%EV -11.75%E -11.19%K -235.02%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.43%EV -1.36%E -0.143%K -0.160%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-20 14:59
Codere (IT)🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -5.31%E -0.312%K -0.332%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.44%EV -7.55%E -6.86%K -75.49%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.10%EV -4.48%E -0.486%K -0.546%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-20 16:40
Betway🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV -5.31%E -0.312%K -0.332%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.37%EV -5.03%E -4.45%K -38.67%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -11.74%E -1.38%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-20 14:59
Winamax (FR)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 6.81%EV -27.59%E -2.12%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 82.77%EV -10.07%E -9.41%K -143.86%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.42%EV -11.74%E -1.38%K -1.57%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-20 16:19
Betclic (FR)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -27.59%E -2.12%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.84%EV -5.87%E -5.24%K -48.90%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.11%EV -14.34%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-20 14:59
NetBet (FR)🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.59%EV -10.88%E -0.680%K -0.725%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 83.57%EV -10.07%E -9.41%K -143.86%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.84%EV -14.34%E -1.74%K -1.98%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-20 15:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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