The School of Odds

Wehen Wiesbaden v Bayer Leverkusen

2026-08-22 11:00 — DFB-Pokal

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Wehen Wiesbaden (Local)

9.5010.53%Min
11.888.42%Mean
11.758.51%Median
14.506.90%Max
6.60%15.157Min
8.85%11.299Max
6.86%14.576Mean
6.86%14.576Median
6.86%14.576IQM
6.80%14.710Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 14.50 under the IQM model: 6.86%

EV -0.521%Edge -0.036%Kelly -0.039%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Bayer Leverkusen (Visit)

1.0991.74%Min
1.1388.89%Mean
1.1388.89%Median
1.1686.21%Max
77.14%1.296Min
82.47%1.213Max
81.50%1.227Mean
81.50%1.227Median
81.50%1.227IQM
81.73%1.224Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.16 under the IQM model: 81.50%

EV -5.46%Edge -4.71%Kelly -34.13%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

6.0016.67%Min
7.2513.79%Mean
7.1314.04%Median
8.7511.43%Max
10.93%9.147Min
14.01%7.136Max
11.64%8.591Mean
11.64%8.591Median
11.64%8.591IQM
11.47%8.717Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 8.75 under the IQM model: 11.64%

EV +1.85%Edge +0.212%Kelly +0.239%Growth +0.004%

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

BookmakerWehen Wiesbaden (Local)Bayer Leverkusen (Visit)Draw ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM14.50I 6.90% NM 6.60%EV -0.521% E -0.036% K -0.039% G +0.000%1.16I 86.21% NM 82.47%EV -5.46% E -4.71% K -34.13% G +0.000%8.75I 11.43% NM 10.93%EV +1.85% E +0.212% K +0.239% G +0.004%4.5%2026-06-11 11:00
Tipico (DE)13.00I 7.69% NM 7.12%EV -10.81% E -0.832% K -0.901% G +0.000%1.15I 86.96% NM 80.53%EV -6.28% E -5.46% K -41.84% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.35%EV -12.70% E -1.69% K -1.95% G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-06 22:09
Winamax (DE)10.50I 9.52% NM 8.26%EV -27.96% E -2.66% K -2.94% G +0.000%1.10I 90.91% NM 78.88%EV -10.35% E -9.41% K -103.51% G +0.000%6.75I 14.81% NM 12.85%EV -21.43% E -3.17% K -3.73% G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-04 11:25
Winamax (FR)9.50I 10.53% NM 8.85%EV -34.82% E -3.67% K -4.10% G +0.000%1.09I 91.74% NM 77.14%EV -11.17% E -10.24% K -124.07% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 14.01%EV -30.16% E -5.03% K -6.03% G +0.000%18.9%2026-07-04 11:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth