Wehen Wiesbaden v Bayer Leverkusen

2026-08-22 11:00 UTC — DFB-Pokal

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Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

81%

12%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Wehen Wiesbaden (Local)

Prediction 7.12%14.05fair odd

EV +3.17%

Edge +0.219%

Kelly +0.235%

Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 14.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

6.56%7.21%7.12%9.84%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

8.5011.5612.0014.5012%9%8%7%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Bayer Leverkusen (Visit)

Prediction 80.79%1.24fair odd

EV -6.29%

Edge -5.42%

Kelly -39.29%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

76.77%80.82%80.79%82.47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.041.121.121.1696%89%89%86%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 12.10%8.27fair odd

EV +5.84%

Edge +0.668%

Kelly +0.754%

Growth +0.044%

assuming max odds 8.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

10.93%11.97%12.10%13.39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

6.257.377.508.7516%14%13%11%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Draw ▼	Margin	Updated
BetMGM	14.50I 6.90%NM 6.60%EV +3.17%E +0.219%K +0.235%G +0.007%	1.16I 86.21%NM 82.47%EV -6.29%E -5.42%K -39.29%G +0.000%	8.75I 11.43%NM 10.93%EV +5.84%E +0.668%K +0.754%G +0.044%	4.5%	2026-06-11 11:00
LeoVegas	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -14.61%E -1.22%K -1.33%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -7.90%E -6.93%K -56.44%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -3.23%E -0.403%K -0.461%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-07-25 05:00
Codere (IT)	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -7.50%E -0.577%K -0.625%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 81.05%EV -7.90%E -6.93%K -56.44%G +0.000%	7.80I 12.82%NM 11.85%EV -5.65%E -0.724%K -0.830%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-07-25 05:05
Tipico (DE)	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -7.50%E -0.577%K -0.625%G +0.000%	1.15I 86.96%NM 80.53%EV -7.09%E -6.17%K -47.29%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -9.28%E -1.24%K -1.43%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-06-06 22:09
NetBet (FR)	13.00I 7.69%NM 6.56%EV -7.50%E -0.577%K -0.625%G +0.000%	1.04I 96.15%NM 82.06%EV -15.98%E -15.37%K -399.51%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 11.38%EV -9.28%E -1.24%K -1.43%G +0.000%	17.2%	2026-07-25 05:55
Winamax (DE)	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.16%EV -32.40%E -3.41%K -3.81%G +0.000%	1.11I 90.09%NM 78.41%EV -10.33%E -9.30%K -93.87%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 12.43%EV -15.32%E -2.19%K -2.55%G +0.000%	14.9%	2026-07-25 05:00
Betclic (FR)	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.00%EV -21.73%E -1.98%K -2.17%G +0.000%	1.11I 90.09%NM 79.25%EV -10.33%E -9.30%K -93.87%G +0.000%	6.90I 14.49%NM 12.75%EV -16.53%E -2.40%K -2.80%G +0.000%	13.7%	2026-07-25 04:59
Unibet (FR)	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.16%EV -32.40%E -3.41%K -3.81%G +0.000%	1.12I 89.29%NM 77.66%EV -9.52%E -8.50%K -79.31%G +0.000%	6.60I 15.15%NM 13.18%EV -20.16%E -3.05%K -3.60%G +0.000%	15.0%	2026-07-25 05:00
Winamax (FR)	8.50I 11.76%NM 9.84%EV -39.52%E -4.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%	1.09I 91.74%NM 76.77%EV -11.94%E -10.96%K -132.68%G +0.000%	6.25I 16.00%NM 13.39%EV -24.40%E -3.90%K -4.65%G +0.000%	19.5%	2026-07-25 05:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.