Language:English
Wehen Wiesbaden v Bayer Leverkusen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Wehen Wiesbaden (Local)
Prediction 4.94%20.23fair odd
EV +3.82%
Edge +0.182%
Kelly +0.191%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 21.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.44%5.08%4.79%6.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
15.0018.4919.0021.006.67%5.41%5.26%4.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bayer Leverkusen (Visit)
Prediction 86.21%1.16fair odd
EV -3.44%
Edge -3.07%
Kelly -28.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.49%86.19%86.28%87.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.081.081.1295.24%92.17%92.17%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 8.84%11.31fair odd
EV +14.95%
Edge +1.15%
Kelly +1.25%
Growth +0.186%
assuming max odds 13.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.30%8.73%8.94%10.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.0010.1610.0013.0011.11%9.85%10.00%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wehen Wiesbaden (Local): 4.94%; Bayer Leverkusen (Visit): 86.21%; Draw: 8.84%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.31. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.95%.
Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.59%EV -15.95%E -0.939%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.11%EV -6.03%E -5.53%K -66.96%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV +14.95%E +1.15%K +1.25%G +0.186% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 10:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.72%EV -1.12%E -0.056%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.89%E -6.38%K -86.11%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +6.11%E +0.509%K +0.555%G +0.034% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 10:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -15.95%E -0.939%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.80%EV -7.75%E -7.24%K -110.73%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV +6.11%E +0.509%K +0.555%G +0.034% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 10:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.00%EV -20.90%E -1.31%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.66%EV -3.44%E -3.07%K -28.67%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.34%EV +1.68%E +0.146%K +0.160%G +0.003% | 4.2% | 2026-08-22 10:28 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.96%EV -6.07%E -0.319%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.47%EV -6.03%E -5.53%K -66.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV -2.74%E -0.249%K -0.274%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 10:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.78%EV -6.07%E -0.319%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 86.56%EV -9.48%E -9.02%K -189.51%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -7.16%E -0.682%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 10:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 19.75I 5.06%NM 4.64%EV -2.36%E -0.119%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.42%EV -8.61%E -8.13%K -143.55%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 8.94%EV -9.37%E -0.914%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 10:51 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.76%EV -1.12%E -0.056%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.73%EV -4.30%E -3.88%K -39.11%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.52%EV -11.58%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 10:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.76%EV -1.12%E -0.056%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.73%EV -4.30%E -3.88%K -39.11%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.52%EV -11.58%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 10:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.76%EV -1.12%E -0.056%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.73%EV -4.30%E -3.88%K -39.11%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.52%EV -11.58%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 10:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.76%EV -1.12%E -0.056%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.73%EV -4.30%E -3.88%K -39.11%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.52%EV -11.58%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 10:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.76%EV -1.12%E -0.056%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.73%EV -4.30%E -3.88%K -39.11%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.52%EV -11.58%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 10:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV -1.12%E -0.056%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.95%EV -6.03%E -5.53%K -66.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -11.58%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 10:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.44%EV +3.82%E +0.182%K +0.191%G +0.007% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.25%EV -6.89%E -6.38%K -86.11%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -11.58%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 10:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -25.84%E -1.72%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 85.11%EV -9.48%E -9.02%K -189.51%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.94%EV -11.58%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-22 10:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.93%EV -6.07%E -0.319%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.20%EV -5.16%E -4.70%K -51.65%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -16.00%E -1.68%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 10:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.93%EV -6.07%E -0.319%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.20%EV -5.16%E -4.70%K -51.65%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -16.00%E -1.68%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 10:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.93%EV -6.07%E -0.319%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.20%EV -5.16%E -4.70%K -51.65%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -16.00%E -1.68%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 10:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.40%EV -15.95%E -0.939%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.95%EV -6.89%E -6.38%K -86.11%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.66%EV -16.00%E -1.68%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 10:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.07%EV -11.01%E -0.612%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.32%EV -7.75%E -7.24%K -110.73%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -16.00%E -1.68%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 10:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.37%EV -15.95%E -0.939%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.49%EV -6.89%E -6.38%K -86.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -20.42%E -2.27%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 10:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.28%EV -15.95%E -0.939%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 84.74%EV -8.61%E -8.13%K -143.55%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.98%EV -20.42%E -2.27%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 10:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.28%EV -15.95%E -0.939%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 84.74%EV -8.61%E -8.13%K -143.55%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.98%EV -20.42%E -2.27%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 10:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.28%EV -15.95%E -0.939%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 84.74%EV -8.61%E -8.13%K -143.55%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.98%EV -20.42%E -2.27%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 10:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.