The School of Odds

VfL Osnabrück v Bayern Munich

2026-09-02 18:45 — DFB-Pokal

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (1 in analysis)

Option 1: VfL Osnabrück (Local)

12.508.00%Min
17.335.77%Mean
14.506.90%Median
25.004.00%Max
3.69%27.122Min
6.73%14.868Max
3.69%27.122Mean
3.69%27.122Median
3.69%27.122IQM
3.69%27.122Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 25.00 under the IQM model: 3.69%

EV -7.82%Edge -0.313%Kelly -0.326%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Bayern Munich (Visit)

1.0298.04%Min
1.0397.09%Mean
1.0397.09%Median
1.0496.15%Max
82.43%1.213Min
88.63%1.128Max
88.63%1.128Mean
88.63%1.128Median
88.63%1.128IQM
88.63%1.128Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.04 under the IQM model: 88.63%

EV -7.82%Edge -7.52%Kelly -195.58%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

7.7512.90%Min
9.5810.43%Mean
9.0011.11%Median
12.008.33%Max
7.68%13.018Min
10.85%9.218Max
7.68%13.018Mean
7.68%13.018Median
7.68%13.018IQM
7.68%13.018Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 12.00 under the IQM model: 7.68%

EV -7.82%Edge -0.652%Kelly -0.711%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

BookmakerVfL Osnabrück (Local) ▼Bayern Munich (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)25.00I 4.00% NM 3.69%EV -7.82% E -0.313% K -0.326% G +0.000%1.04I 96.15% NM 88.63%EV -7.82% E -7.52% K -195.58% G +0.000%12.00I 8.33% NM 7.68%EV -7.82% E -0.652% K -0.711% G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-24 15:00
Winamax (DE)14.50I 6.90% NM 5.99%EV -46.54% E -3.21% K -3.45% G +0.000%1.03I 97.09% NM 84.35%EV -8.71% E -8.46% K -290.32% G +0.000%9.00I 11.11% NM 9.65%EV -30.87% E -3.43% K -3.86% G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-04 11:25
Winamax (FR)12.50I 8.00% NM 6.73%EV -53.91% E -4.31% K -4.69% G +0.000%1.02I 98.04% NM 82.43%EV -9.60% E -9.41% K -479.79% G +0.000%7.75I 12.90% NM 10.85%EV -40.47% E -5.22% K -6.00% G +0.000%18.9%2026-07-04 11:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth