L’École des cotesVfB Stuttgart v SC Freiburg
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
VfB Stuttgart (Local)
Prévision 57.64%1.73cote équitable
EV -3.17%
Avantage -1.89%
Kelly -4.66%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.68
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.08%57.55%57.48%58.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.561.611.611.6864.10%62.07%62.11%59.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
SC Freiburg (Visiteur)
Prévision 20.20%4.95cote équitable
EV +3.04%
Avantage +0.596%
Kelly +0.741%
Croissance +0.023%
avec la cote maximale 5.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.95%20.26%20.30%21.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.334.734.755.1023.09%21.16%21.05%19.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 22.16%4.51cote équitable
EV -2.50%
Avantage -0.569%
Kelly -0.737%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.46%22.19%22.23%22.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.144.104.4025.00%24.14%24.39%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (25 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.14%EV -3.17%E -1.89%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.15%EV +3.04%E +0.596%K +0.741%G +0.023% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.71%EV -4.72%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-23 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.14%EV -3.17%E -1.89%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.15%EV +3.04%E +0.596%K +0.741%G +0.023% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.71%EV -4.72%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-23 18:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.87%EV -6.63%E -4.09%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.46%EV -1.00%E -0.204%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -2.50%E -0.569%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 18:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.10%EV -7.20%E -4.47%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV -1.00%E -0.204%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -9.15%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 17:59 |
| Unibet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.10%EV -7.20%E -4.47%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV -1.00%E -0.204%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -9.15%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.10%EV -7.20%E -4.47%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV -1.00%E -0.204%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -9.15%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 17:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.10%EV -7.20%E -4.47%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV -1.00%E -0.204%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -9.15%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 17:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -7.78%E -4.86%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -1.00%E -0.204%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -9.15%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 18:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -7.78%E -4.86%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -1.00%E -0.204%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -9.15%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.31%EV -10.08%E -6.46%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -3.02%E -0.629%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 17:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.31%EV -10.08%E -6.46%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -3.02%E -0.629%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 17:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.31%EV -10.08%E -6.46%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -3.02%E -0.629%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 17:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -6.63%E -4.09%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -4.03%E -0.849%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -4.06%E -0.937%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 16:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.40%EV -8.93%E -5.65%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -5.04%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.97%EV -6.94%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -6.05%E -3.71%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -7.06%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.94%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.63%E -4.09%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -7.06%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.94%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 17:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -7.20%E -4.47%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -7.06%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 18:35 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -7.20%E -4.47%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -7.06%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -7.20%E -4.47%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -7.06%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 18:34 |
| betfred_uk | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.78%E -4.86%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -7.06%E -1.54%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 13:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.56%EV -5.47%E -3.34%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -9.08%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%EV -2.50%E -0.569%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 17:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.74%EV -7.78%E -4.86%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -9.08%E -2.02%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -5.83%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 56.99%EV -8.36%E -5.26%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.36%EV -10.09%E -2.27%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-23 18:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.32%EV -7.78%E -4.86%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -11.10%E -2.52%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -6.94%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.08%EV -3.74%E -2.24%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -12.52%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -6.94%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 18:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.