Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

VfB Stuttgart v Dynamo Dresden

2026-12-02 19:00 UTC — DFB-Pokal

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

77%

13%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

VfB Stuttgart (Local)

Prediction 77.43%1.29fair odd

EV -7.08%

Edge -5.90%

Kelly -35.40%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

77.43%77.43%77.43%77.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.201.201.201.2083.33%83.33%83.33%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dynamo Dresden (Visit)

Prediction 9.29%10.76fair odd

EV -7.08%

Edge -0.708%

Kelly -0.787%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 10.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

9.29%9.29%9.29%9.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

10.0010.0010.0010.0010.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 13.27%7.53fair odd

EV -7.08%

Edge -1.01%

Kelly -1.18%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

13.27%13.27%13.27%13.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

7.007.007.007.0014.29%14.29%14.29%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: VfB Stuttgart (Local): 77.43%; Dynamo Dresden (Visit): 9.29%; Draw: 13.27%. For Dynamo Dresden (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.76. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 10.00, with an expected value of -7.08%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 77.43%EV -7.08%E -5.90%K -35.40%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -7.08%E -0.708%K -0.787%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-11-01 18:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.