The School of Odds
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SSV Jeddeloh v Hertha Berlin

Kickoff: 2026-10-28 17:00 UTC

Final: SSV Jeddeloh 0–2 Hertha Berlin

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SSV Jeddeloh (Local)

Prediction 4.98%20.09fair odd
EV +29.41%
Edge +1.13%
Kelly +1.18%
Growth +0.346%

assuming max odds 26.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
3.65%5.12%4.97%6.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
14.0020.0919.5026.007.14%4.98%5.13%3.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hertha Berlin (Visit)

Prediction 86.98%1.15fair odd
EV -3.45%
Edge -3.11%
Kelly -31.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.68%86.83%86.89%89.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.061.061.1199.01%94.63%94.34%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 8.04%12.43fair odd
EV +12.61%
Edge +0.901%
Kelly +0.970%
Growth +0.122%

assuming max odds 14.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.78%8.05%8.14%14.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.7511.7812.2014.0017.39%8.49%8.20%7.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SSV Jeddeloh (Local): 4.98%; Hertha Berlin (Visit): 86.98%; Draw: 8.04%. For SSV Jeddeloh (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 20.09. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 26.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +29.41%.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.65%EV +29.41%E +1.13%K +1.18%G +0.346%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.57%EV -7.80%E -7.36%K -130.04%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.78%EV +12.61%E +0.901%K +0.970%G +0.122%5.3%2026-10-28 16:40
Unibet🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.65%EV +29.41%E +1.13%K +1.18%G +0.346%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.57%EV -7.80%E -7.36%K -130.04%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.78%EV +12.61%E +0.901%K +0.970%G +0.122%5.3%2026-10-28 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.65%EV +29.41%E +1.13%K +1.18%G +0.346%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.57%EV -7.80%E -7.36%K -130.04%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.78%EV +12.61%E +0.901%K +0.970%G +0.122%5.3%2026-10-28 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.65%EV +29.41%E +1.13%K +1.18%G +0.346%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.57%EV -7.80%E -7.36%K -130.04%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.78%EV +12.61%E +0.901%K +0.970%G +0.122%5.3%2026-10-28 16:40
Grosvenor🎯23.00I 4.35%NM 3.97%EV +14.48%E +0.630%K +0.658%G +0.095%1.03I 97.09%NM 88.72%EV -10.41%E -10.11%K -347.06%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV +0.549%E +0.044%K +0.048%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-28 16:35
LiveScore Bet🎯23.00I 4.35%NM 3.94%EV +14.48%E +0.630%K +0.658%G +0.095%1.02I 98.04%NM 88.81%EV -11.28%E -11.06%K -564.08%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.25%EV +0.549%E +0.044%K +0.048%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-28 16:40
Virgin Bet🎯23.00I 4.35%NM 3.94%EV +14.48%E +0.630%K +0.658%G +0.095%1.02I 98.04%NM 88.81%EV -11.28%E -11.06%K -564.08%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.25%EV +0.549%E +0.044%K +0.048%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-28 16:40
PMU (FR)🎯23.00I 4.35%NM 3.90%EV +14.48%E +0.630%K +0.658%G +0.095%1.01I 99.01%NM 88.91%EV -12.15%E -12.03%K -1215.15%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.18%EV +0.549%E +0.044%K +0.048%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-28 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯23.00I 4.35%NM 3.90%EV +14.48%E +0.630%K +0.658%G +0.095%1.01I 99.01%NM 88.91%EV -12.15%E -12.03%K -1215.15%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.18%EV +0.549%E +0.044%K +0.048%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-28 16:40
BetMGM🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.60%EV +4.52%E +0.215%K +0.226%G +0.010%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.00%EV -3.45%E -3.11%K -31.40%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.40%EV -7.50%E -0.652%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-28 16:50
Pinnacle🎯20.29I 4.93%NM 4.68%EV +0.990%E +0.049%K +0.051%G +0.001%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -5.19%E -4.76%K -57.70%G +0.000%11.65I 8.58%NM 8.16%EV -6.29%E -0.540%K -0.590%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-28 16:50
picklebet_au🎯20.00I 5.00%NM 4.70%EV -0.453%E -0.023%K -0.024%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.11%EV -6.06%E -5.61%K -75.79%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV -7.50%E -0.652%K -0.714%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-28 16:50
1xBet🎯19.50I 5.13%NM 4.76%EV -2.94%E -0.151%K -0.159%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.80%E -7.36%K -130.04%G +0.000%12.20I 8.20%NM 7.61%EV -1.86%E -0.153%K -0.166%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-28 16:00
Betway🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.03%EV -5.43%E -0.286%K -0.302%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.63%EV -5.19%E -4.76%K -57.70%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.35%EV +4.57%E +0.352%K +0.381%G +0.017%4.7%2026-10-28 16:35
LeoVegas🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 4.96%EV -5.43%E -0.286%K -0.302%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.20%EV -6.06%E -5.61%K -75.79%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV -3.47%E -0.289%K -0.316%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-28 16:50
Codere (IT)🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 4.92%EV -5.43%E -0.286%K -0.302%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.58%EV -6.06%E -5.61%K -75.79%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV -11.52%E -1.05%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-28 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 4.92%EV -5.43%E -0.286%K -0.302%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.58%EV -6.06%E -5.61%K -75.79%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV -11.52%E -1.05%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-28 16:03
Tipico (DE)🎯18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV -10.41%E -0.578%K -0.612%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.48%EV -6.06%E -5.61%K -75.79%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +4.57%E +0.352%K +0.381%G +0.017%5.8%2026-10-28 16:50
NetBet (FR)🎯18.00I 5.56%NM 4.97%EV -10.41%E -0.578%K -0.612%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 86.07%EV -9.54%E -9.18%K -238.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.95%EV -19.56%E -1.96%K -2.17%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-28 16:50
betfred_uk🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -15.39%E -0.905%K -0.962%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 85.59%EV -7.80%E -7.36%K -130.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV -19.56%E -1.96%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-28 16:50
Winamax (DE)🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV -20.36%E -1.27%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.46%EV -8.67%E -8.26%K -173.45%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.80%EV +8.59%E +0.637%K +0.687%G +0.059%8.9%2026-10-28 16:49
Paddy Power🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.01%EV -25.34%E -1.69%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 84.99%EV -7.80%E -7.36%K -130.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.01%EV -19.56%E -1.96%K -2.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-28 16:30
Betclic (FR)🎯14.50I 6.90%NM 5.77%EV -27.83%E -1.92%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 79.68%EV -8.67%E -8.26%K -173.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 14.55%EV -53.75%E -9.35%K -11.32%G +0.000%19.5%2026-10-28 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.38%EV -30.32%E -2.17%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 85.86%EV -9.54%E -9.18%K -238.55%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.76%EV -7.50%E -0.652%K -0.714%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-28 16:50
Unibet (FR)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.19%EV -30.32%E -2.17%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 83.36%EV -9.54%E -9.18%K -238.55%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 10.45%EV -33.24%E -4.00%K -4.55%G +0.000%15.3%2026-10-28 16:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎27.00I 3.70%NM 3.69%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38%0.4%2026-10-28 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎27.00I 3.70%NM 3.69%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.38%0.4%2026-10-28 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎26.00I 3.85%NM 3.83%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.81%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.37%0.5%2026-10-28 16:35