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SSV Jeddeloh v 1. FC Heidenheim
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SSV Jeddeloh (Local)
Prediction 4.39%22.79fair odd
EV +0.903%
Edge +0.039%
Kelly +0.041%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 23.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.09%4.65%4.36%5.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
15.0019.9120.0023.006.67%5.02%5.00%4.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
1. FC Heidenheim (Visit)
Prediction 88.17%1.13fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -2.74%
Kelly -30.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.92%87.94%88.29%89.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.061.061.1097.09%94.54%94.34%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 7.44%13.44fair odd
EV +11.64%
Edge +0.776%
Kelly +0.832%
Growth +0.097%
assuming max odds 15.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.36%7.41%7.35%9.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.0012.1412.0015.0010.00%8.24%8.33%6.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SSV Jeddeloh (Local): 4.39%; 1. FC Heidenheim (Visit): 88.17%; Draw: 7.44%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 13.44. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 15.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.64%.
Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.54%EV -7.87%E -0.375%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.66%E -5.29%K -80.83%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.36%EV +11.64%E +0.776%K +0.832%G +0.097% | 4.9% | 2026-08-23 10:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.29%EV -3.48%E -0.158%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.98%EV -6.54%E -6.17%K -109.00%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV +4.20%E +0.300%K +0.323%G +0.014% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 10:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV -21.03%E -1.17%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.92%EV -6.54%E -6.17%K -109.00%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.90%EV +0.479%E +0.036%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 10:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.33%EV -21.03%E -1.17%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.28%EV -3.01%E -2.74%K -30.13%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.39%EV -3.24%E -0.249%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-23 10:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.50%EV -7.87%E -0.375%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.24%EV -5.66%E -5.29%K -80.83%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV -3.24%E -0.249%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 08:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.09%EV +0.903%E +0.039%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.68%EV -6.54%E -6.17%K -109.00%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -3.24%E -0.249%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 10:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.09%EV +0.903%E +0.039%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.68%EV -6.54%E -6.17%K -109.00%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -3.24%E -0.249%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 10:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.09%EV +0.903%E +0.039%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.68%EV -6.54%E -6.17%K -109.00%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -3.24%E -0.249%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 10:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.33%EV -7.87%E -0.375%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.38%EV -9.18%E -8.92%K -306.16%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.28%EV -6.96%E -0.557%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 10:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.27%EV -3.48%E -0.158%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.89%EV -5.66%E -5.29%K -80.83%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -10.69%E -0.890%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 10:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV -12.26%E -0.613%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.66%E -5.29%K -80.83%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.80%EV -10.69%E -0.890%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 10:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV -12.26%E -0.613%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.66%E -5.29%K -80.83%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.80%EV -10.69%E -0.890%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 10:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV -12.26%E -0.613%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.66%E -5.29%K -80.83%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.80%EV -10.69%E -0.890%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 10:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV -12.26%E -0.613%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.66%E -5.29%K -80.83%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.80%EV -10.69%E -0.890%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 10:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%EV -21.03%E -1.17%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.56%EV -6.54%E -6.17%K -109.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.34%EV -18.13%E -1.65%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 10:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.37%EV -7.87%E -0.375%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.30%EV -7.42%E -7.07%K -148.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -18.13%E -1.65%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 10:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.80%EV -16.65%E -0.876%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 86.90%EV -7.42%E -7.07%K -148.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.30%EV -18.13%E -1.65%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 18.00I 5.56%NM 4.97%EV -21.03%E -1.17%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 86.89%EV -9.18%E -8.92%K -306.16%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.14%EV -18.13%E -1.65%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 10:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 18.00I 5.56%NM 4.97%EV -21.03%E -1.17%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 86.89%EV -9.18%E -8.92%K -306.16%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.14%EV -18.13%E -1.65%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 10:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 18.00I 5.56%NM 4.97%EV -21.03%E -1.17%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 86.89%EV -9.18%E -8.92%K -306.16%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.14%EV -18.13%E -1.65%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 10:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -34.19%E -2.28%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.92%EV -8.30%E -7.98%K -207.58%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -18.13%E -1.65%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-23 10:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.80%EV -16.65%E -0.876%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.07%EV -6.54%E -6.17%K -109.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -25.57%E -2.56%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 08:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.