Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach v Augsburg

2026-10-28 19:45 UTC — DFB-Pokal

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

13%

69%

18%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Local)

Prediction 13.28%7.53fair odd

EV -7.06%

Edge -1.01%

Kelly -1.18%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

13.28%13.28%13.28%13.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

7.007.007.007.0014.29%14.29%14.29%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Augsburg (Visit)

Prediction 68.85%1.45fair odd

EV -7.06%

Edge -5.23%

Kelly -20.16%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

68.85%68.85%68.85%68.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.351.351.351.3574.07%74.07%74.07%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.87%5.59fair odd

EV -7.06%

Edge -1.36%

Kelly -1.68%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

17.87%17.87%17.87%17.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

5.205.205.205.2019.23%19.23%19.23%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (Local): 13.28%; Augsburg (Visit): 68.85%; Draw: 17.87%. For Augsburg (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.45. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.35, with an expected value of -7.06%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Tipico (DE)🎯	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -7.06%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%	1.35I 74.07%NM 68.85%EV -7.06%E -5.23%K -20.16%G +0.000%	5.20I 19.23%NM 17.87%EV -7.06%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-09-05 23:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.