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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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SG Sonnenhof Großaspach v Augsburg

开赛时间： 2026-10-27 17:00 UTC

最终结果： SG Sonnenhof Großaspach 2–4 Augsburg

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

27 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (主队)

预测 10.28%9.73公平赔率
EV +7.96%
优势 +0.758%
Kelly +0.838%
增长率 +0.067%

假设最高赔率为 10.50

博彩公司预测分布
9.02%10.46%10.21%13.01%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.759.479.5010.5014.81%10.56%10.53%9.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

Augsburg (客队)

预测 75.35%1.33公平赔率
EV -4.30%
优势 -3.39%
Kelly -15.93%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.27

博彩公司预测分布
72.59%75.08%75.41%76.40%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.151.221.231.2786.96%81.82%81.30%78.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 14.36%6.96公平赔率
EV +0.552%
优势 +0.079%
Kelly +0.092%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 7.00

博彩公司预测分布
13.31%14.46%14.38%15.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.006.336.507.0016.67%15.80%15.38%14.29%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (主队)：10.28%；Augsburg (客队)：75.35%；平局：14.36%。 对于“SG Sonnenhof Großaspach (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为9.73。 当时有9家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为10.50，对应+7.96%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Unibet (SE)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.02%EV +7.96%E +0.758%K +0.838%G +0.067%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.40%EV -6.56%E -5.29%K -27.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.58%EV -6.63%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-27 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.02%EV +7.96%E +0.758%K +0.838%G +0.067%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.40%EV -6.56%E -5.29%K -27.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.58%EV -6.63%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-27 16:45
ATG (SE)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.02%EV +7.96%E +0.758%K +0.838%G +0.067%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.40%EV -6.56%E -5.29%K -27.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.58%EV -6.63%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-27 16:45
Unibet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.02%EV +7.96%E +0.758%K +0.838%G +0.067%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.40%EV -6.56%E -5.29%K -27.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.58%EV -6.63%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-27 16:45
Svenska Spel🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.02%EV +7.96%E +0.758%K +0.838%G +0.067%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.40%EV -6.56%E -5.29%K -27.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.58%EV -6.63%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-27 16:45
Unibet (UK)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV +2.82%E +0.282%K +0.313%G +0.009%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.21%EV -7.32%E -5.95%K -31.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -6.63%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-27 16:30
picklebet_au🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +2.82%E +0.282%K +0.313%G +0.009%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -8.07%E -6.61%K -36.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -6.63%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-27 16:30
betfred_uk🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV +2.82%E +0.282%K +0.313%G +0.009%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -9.58%E -7.98%K -47.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -13.81%E -2.30%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-27 16:30
Codere (IT)🎯9.80I 10.20%NM 9.57%EV +0.763%E +0.078%K +0.087%G +0.001%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.23%EV -7.32%E -5.95%K -31.81%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.21%EV -5.19%E -0.787%K -0.927%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-27 16:30
BetMGM🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.11%EV -2.32%E -0.244%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.65%EV -4.30%E -3.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -3.04%E -0.450%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-27 16:42
888sport🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -2.32%E -0.244%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -5.81%E -4.65%K -23.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -13.81%E -2.30%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-27 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -2.32%E -0.244%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -5.81%E -4.65%K -23.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -13.81%E -2.30%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-27 16:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -2.32%E -0.244%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -5.81%E -4.65%K -23.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -13.81%E -2.30%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-27 16:45
LeoVegas🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -2.32%E -0.244%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.38%EV -8.07%E -6.61%K -36.68%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -3.04%E -0.450%K -0.529%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-27 16:45
Grosvenor🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -2.32%E -0.244%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -8.82%E -7.29%K -42.01%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -12.38%E -2.03%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-27 16:45
PMU (FR)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -2.32%E -0.244%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -9.58%E -7.98%K -47.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -13.81%E -2.30%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-27 16:45
LiveScore Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -2.32%E -0.244%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 75.55%EV -10.33%E -8.68%K -54.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -13.81%E -2.30%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-27 16:45
Virgin Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -2.32%E -0.244%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 75.55%EV -10.33%E -8.68%K -54.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -13.81%E -2.30%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-27 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -2.32%E -0.244%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 75.71%EV -11.08%E -9.39%K -61.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -13.81%E -2.30%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-27 16:20
Pinnacle🎯9.23I 10.83%NM 10.29%EV -5.10%E -0.552%K -0.619%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.35%EV -5.05%E -4.01%K -19.44%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.36%EV -5.05%E -0.764%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -7.46%E -0.829%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.45%EV -5.81%E -4.65%K -23.23%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.08%EV -3.76%E -0.561%K -0.659%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-27 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -7.46%E -0.829%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -8.07%E -6.61%K -36.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV +0.552%E +0.079%K +0.092%G +0.001%7.4%2026-10-27 16:30
NetBet (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -7.46%E -0.829%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 75.31%EV -11.08%E -9.39%K -61.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.81%EV -13.81%E -2.30%K -2.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-27 16:50
Unibet (FR)🎯8.80I 11.36%NM 9.88%EV -9.52%E -1.08%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 75.62%EV -13.34%E -11.60%K -88.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.49%EV -13.81%E -2.30%K -2.76%G +0.000%15.0%2026-10-27 16:40
Betway🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -12.60%E -1.48%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.66%EV -5.81%E -4.65%K -23.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -6.63%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-27 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -17.74%E -2.22%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 74.67%EV -10.33%E -8.68%K -54.37%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.22%EV -10.22%E -1.64%K -1.95%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-27 16:30
Betclic (FR)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.01%EV -30.60%E -4.53%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 72.59%EV -8.82%E -7.29%K -42.01%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.40%EV -12.38%E -2.03%K -2.43%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-27 16:40
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。