The School of Odds

SC Verl v Hamburger SV

2026-08-21 16:00 — DFB-Pokal

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: SC Verl (Local)

4.2023.81%Min
4.6021.74%Mean
4.6021.74%Median
5.0020.00%Max
18.79%5.321Min
22.00%4.545Max
20.40%4.903Mean
20.40%4.903Median
20.40%4.903IQM
20.22%4.945Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 5.00 under the IQM model: 20.40%

EV +1.98%Edge +0.397%Kelly +0.496%Growth +0.010%

Option 2: Hamburger SV (Visit)

1.5763.69%Min
1.6162.11%Mean
1.6162.11%Median
1.6560.61%Max
56.00%1.786Min
59.85%1.671Max
57.93%1.726Mean
57.93%1.726Median
57.93%1.726IQM
58.13%1.720Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.65 under the IQM model: 57.93%

EV -4.42%Edge -2.68%Kelly -6.80%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

4.2023.81%Min
4.3023.26%Mean
4.3023.26%Median
4.4022.73%Max
21.36%4.683Min
22.00%4.545Max
21.68%4.613Mean
21.68%4.613Median
21.68%4.613IQM
21.64%4.620Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.40 under the IQM model: 21.68%

EV -4.62%Edge -1.05%Kelly -1.36%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerSC Verl (Local) ▼Hamburger SV (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
BetMGM5.00I 20.00% NM 18.79%EV +1.98% E +0.397% K +0.496% G +0.010%1.57I 63.69% NM 59.85%EV -9.06% E -5.77% K -15.89% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 21.36%EV -4.62% E -1.05% K -1.36% G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-11 10:09
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81% NM 22.00%EV -14.33% E -3.41% K -4.48% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 56.00%EV -4.42% E -2.68% K -6.80% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 22.00%EV -8.95% E -2.13% K -2.80% G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-06 22:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth