The School of Odds

SC Preußen Münster v Karlsruher SC

2026-08-21 16:00 UTC — DFB-Pokal

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Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

SC Preußen Münster (Local)

Prediction 32.50%3.08fair odd
EV -5.75%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -3.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.28%32.62%32.50%33.40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.552.722.722.9039%37%37%34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Karlsruher SC (Visit)

Prediction 39.98%2.50fair odd
EV -4.85%
Edge -2.04%
Kelly -3.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.47%40.23%39.98%41.18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.102.232.202.3848%45%45%42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 27.52%3.63fair odd
EV -0.928%
Edge -0.258%
Kelly -0.357%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.74%27.16%27.52%27.91%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.053.283.253.6033%30%31%28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.67%EV -4.85%E -2.04%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-11 10:09
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.37%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -6.85%E -2.94%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.81%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 05:00
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -9.00%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -10.04%E -4.46%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -0.928%E -0.258%K -0.357%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-09 14:10
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.00%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.43%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 05:00
Betclic (FR)2.72I 36.76%NM 32.28%EV -11.60%E -4.26%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.28%EV -12.84%E -5.89%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -11.94%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-25 04:59
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.81%EV -13.87%E -5.24%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.44%EV -14.04%E -6.53%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.75%EV -10.56%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-25 05:00
NetBet (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 32.49%EV -14.85%E -5.67%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.60%EV -14.04%E -6.53%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.91%EV -16.06%E -5.27%K -7.84%G +0.000%17.5%2026-07-25 05:08
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.40%EV -15.50%E -5.96%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -12.04%E -5.47%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -11.94%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-25 05:00
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 32.93%EV -17.12%E -6.72%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.98%EV -16.04%E -7.64%K -14.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.09%EV -14.69%E -4.74%K -6.99%G +0.000%19.1%2026-07-25 05:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.