Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SC Preußen Münster v Karlsruher SC

Kickoff: 2026-08-21 16:00 UTC

Final: SC Preußen Münster 1–2 Karlsruher SC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SC Preußen Münster (Local)

Prediction 24.11%4.15fair odd
EV +1.25%
Edge +0.297%
Kelly +0.390%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.47%23.96%24.07%26.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.713.804.2029.85%26.96%26.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Karlsruher SC (Visit)

Prediction 50.87%1.97fair odd
EV -4.37%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -4.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.69%51.04%50.74%53.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.831.831.8857.14%54.75%54.64%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.03%4.00fair odd
EV +0.105%
Edge +0.026%
Kelly +0.035%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.59%24.99%25.20%26.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.763.704.0028.57%26.60%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Preußen Münster (Local): 24.11%; Karlsruher SC (Visit): 50.87%; Draw: 25.03%. For SC Preußen Münster (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.15. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.25%.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV +1.25%E +0.297%K +0.390%G +0.005%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.33%EV -9.97%E -5.63%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -2.40%E -0.615%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 15:55
BetMGM🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -5.98%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.55%EV -4.88%E -2.61%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 14:40
LeoVegas🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.98%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -5.90%E -3.19%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 15:54
Unibet (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.98%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.90%E -3.19%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.40%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 15:55
NetBet (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -5.98%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.86%EV -10.98%E -6.28%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -8.65%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 15:55
Codere (IT)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -7.19%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.49%EV -5.90%E -3.19%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.40%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-21 15:55
Betclic (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -7.19%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -8.44%E -4.69%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -8.65%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 15:51
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.44%E -4.69%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-21 15:55
Unibet (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -8.44%E -4.69%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.40%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 15:54
888sport🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -6.91%E -3.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.41%E -3.55%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-21 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -6.91%E -3.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.41%E -3.55%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-21 15:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.39%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -6.91%E -3.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.41%E -3.55%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-21 15:55
Winamax (DE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.64%EV -6.40%E -3.48%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 15:54
Svenska Spel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -4.37%E -2.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV +0.105%E +0.026%K +0.035%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 15:55
ATG (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -4.37%E -2.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV +0.105%E +0.026%K +0.035%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 15:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -4.37%E -2.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV +0.105%E +0.026%K +0.035%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 15:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -4.37%E -2.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV +0.105%E +0.026%K +0.035%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 15:55
Unibet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -4.37%E -2.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV +0.105%E +0.026%K +0.035%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 15:55
Winamax (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -14.42%E -4.06%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.27%EV -9.46%E -5.31%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -8.65%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-21 15:54
Grosvenor🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -16.83%E -4.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.84%EV -7.42%E -4.08%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.40%EV -19.24%E -5.74%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.69%EV -9.46%E -5.31%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -7.40%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-21 15:54
LiveScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.40%EV -19.24%E -5.74%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.69%EV -9.46%E -5.31%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -7.40%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-21 15:55
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.40%EV -19.24%E -5.74%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.69%EV -9.46%E -5.31%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -7.40%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-21 15:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.