Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hannover 96 v 1. FC Kaiserslautern

2026-10-28 19:45 UTC — DFB-Pokal

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hannover 96 (Local)

Prediction 52.50%1.90fair odd
EV -5.51%
Edge -3.06%
Kelly -6.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.33%52.46%52.58%53.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.721.751.8061.73%58.00%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

1. FC Kaiserslautern (Visit)

Prediction 23.80%4.20fair odd
EV -4.79%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.57%23.84%23.76%25.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.723.754.0029.41%26.86%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.70%4.22fair odd
EV -5.19%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.19%23.70%23.66%24.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.793.754.0027.40%26.37%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Hannover 96 (Local): 52.50%; 1. FC Kaiserslautern (Visit): 23.80%; Draw: 23.70%. For 1. FC Kaiserslautern (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.20. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.00, with an expected value of -4.79%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.51%E -3.06%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.79%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.19%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-11 12:29
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.93%EV -7.08%E -4.00%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.74%E -2.86%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.56%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-10 20:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.17%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.19%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 13:59
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.55%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -11.12%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-10 20:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.55%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -11.12%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-10 20:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.55%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -11.12%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-10 20:10
picklebet_au🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.74%E -2.86%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.93%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-14 07:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.92%EV -9.71%E -5.64%K -13.48%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.27%EV -12.41%E -3.37%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -11.12%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-13 19:48
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.57%EV -10.76%E -6.33%K -15.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -16.69%E -4.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -11.12%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-10 20:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 51.33%EV -11.81%E -7.03%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.36%EV -19.07%E -5.61%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.31%EV -12.30%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-10 20:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 52.86%EV -13.38%E -8.11%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.57%EV -11.93%E -3.23%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.57%EV -12.30%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%14.7%2026-10-15 20:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 52.80%EV -14.96%E -9.23%K -24.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.76%EV -14.31%E -3.98%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.44%EV -13.49%E -3.70%K -5.09%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-13 19:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.