The School of Odds
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Hannover 96 v 1. FC Kaiserslautern

Kickoff: 2026-10-28 19:45 UTC

Final: Hannover 96 0–2 1. FC Kaiserslautern

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hannover 96 (Local)

Prediction 45.69%2.19fair odd
EV -0.855%
Edge -0.394%
Kelly -0.731%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.14%45.62%45.82%47.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.052.052.1752.36%48.67%48.78%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

1. FC Kaiserslautern (Visit)

Prediction 29.04%3.44fair odd
EV -0.666%
Edge -0.195%
Kelly -0.275%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.02%29.12%28.86%31.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.083.103.4235.71%32.49%32.26%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.27%3.96fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -0.574%
Kelly -0.774%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.34%25.26%25.32%26.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.633.653.8730.30%27.51%27.40%25.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hannover 96 (Local): 45.69%; 1. FC Kaiserslautern (Visit): 29.04%; Draw: 25.27%. For 1. FC Kaiserslautern (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.42, with an expected value of -0.666%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.44%EV -0.855%E -0.394%K -0.731%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -12.87%E -4.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-28 19:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.44%EV -0.855%E -0.394%K -0.731%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -12.87%E -4.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-28 19:15
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.44%EV -0.855%E -0.394%K -0.731%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -12.87%E -4.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-28 19:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.44%EV -0.855%E -0.394%K -0.731%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -12.87%E -4.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-28 19:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.44%EV -0.855%E -0.394%K -0.731%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -12.87%E -4.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-28 19:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -4.05%E -1.93%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.99%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-28 19:40
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -4.05%E -1.93%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.06%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -9.04%E -2.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-28 18:44
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -4.05%E -1.93%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -16.35%E -5.68%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -9.04%E -2.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-28 19:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.30%EV -5.42%E -2.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.45%EV -17.22%E -6.04%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.25%EV -10.31%E -2.90%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-28 19:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.30%EV -5.42%E -2.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.45%EV -17.22%E -6.04%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.25%EV -10.31%E -2.90%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-28 19:15
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -6.34%E -3.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.25%E -0.367%K -0.520%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.84%EV -2.22%E -0.574%K -0.774%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-28 19:40
picklebet_au🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -6.34%E -3.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -4.15%E -1.26%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-28 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.34%E -3.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-28 18:50
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -6.34%E -3.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -8.51%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.78%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-28 19:25
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.34%E -3.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.57%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-28 19:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.34%E -3.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.57%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-28 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.34%E -3.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.57%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-28 19:30
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.34%E -3.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.87%E -4.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.04%E -2.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-28 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.14%EV -6.34%E -3.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -18.67%E -6.67%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -11.57%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-28 19:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.14%EV -6.34%E -3.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -18.67%E -6.67%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -11.57%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-28 19:15
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.97%EV -6.79%E -3.33%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.02%EV -0.666%E -0.195%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.02%EV -3.23%E -0.844%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-28 19:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -6.79%E -3.33%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-28 18:49
NetBet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.44%EV -7.71%E -3.82%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.92%EV -12.87%E -4.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.57%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-28 19:20
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -3.99%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 19:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -10.45%E -5.33%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -3.99%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-28 18:50
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.91%E -5.59%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.57%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-28 19:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.41%EV -10.91%E -5.59%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.35%EV -14.32%E -4.85%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.24%EV -16.62%E -5.04%K -7.23%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-28 19:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.61%EV -12.28%E -6.39%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -9.96%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -7.78%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-28 18:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -12.73%E -6.67%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 28.59%EV -10.83%E -3.53%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -12.83%E -3.72%K -5.24%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-28 19:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%0.5%2026-10-28 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%0.5%2026-10-28 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-10-28 19:40