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Hannover 96 v 1. FC Kaiserslautern

2026-10-28 19:45 UTC — DFB-Pokal

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hannover 96 (Local)

Prediction 56.13%1.78fair odd
EV -5.14%
Edge -3.04%
Kelly -7.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.06%56.13%56.13%56.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.601.581.6965.36%62.56%63.29%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

1. FC Kaiserslautern (Visit)

Prediction 21.81%4.59fair odd
EV -4.05%
Edge -0.921%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.50%21.81%21.81%22.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.043.904.4025.97%24.75%25.64%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.06%4.53fair odd
EV -5.14%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.60%22.06%22.06%22.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.994.004.3027.03%25.09%25.00%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Hannover 96 (Local): 56.13%; 1. FC Kaiserslautern (Visit): 21.81%; Draw: 22.06%. For 1. FC Kaiserslautern (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.59. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.40, with an expected value of -4.05%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.98%EV -5.14%E -3.04%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -4.05%E -0.921%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -7.34%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-21 08:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -7.38%E -4.47%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -8.41%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -5.14%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 17:24
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -7.94%E -4.84%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.41%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -9.55%E -2.33%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.55%EV -11.31%E -7.16%K -19.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.51%EV -14.95%E -3.83%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -11.75%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 55.40%EV -12.43%E -7.97%K -22.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.45%EV -16.04%E -4.17%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.16%EV -13.96%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-12 14:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 55.06%EV -13.56%E -8.80%K -25.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.02%EV -16.04%E -4.17%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.92%EV -18.37%E -4.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%17.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 55.31%EV -14.12%E -9.23%K -26.64%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 21.81%EV -15.39%E -3.97%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.87%EV -18.37%E -4.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%18.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.