Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hamburger SV v Eintracht Frankfurt

2026-10-27 17:00 UTC — DFB-Pokal

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hamburger SV (Local)

Prediction 34.40%2.91fair odd
EV -5.40%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -3.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.28%34.35%34.38%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.652.652.7540.00%37.80%37.74%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Eintracht Frankfurt (Visit)

Prediction 39.79%2.51fair odd
EV -4.51%
Edge -1.88%
Kelly -3.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.13%39.80%39.79%41.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.292.302.4047.62%43.70%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.81%3.87fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -0.854%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.34%25.85%25.83%26.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.543.553.7529.85%28.26%28.17%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Hamburger SV (Local): 34.40%; Eintracht Frankfurt (Visit): 39.79%; Draw: 25.81%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.87. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.75, with an expected value of -3.20%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -5.40%E -1.96%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.49%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.24%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-19 07:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -5.40%E -1.96%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.49%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.24%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-19 07:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -5.40%E -1.96%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.49%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.24%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-19 07:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.12%E -2.64%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-20 06:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.12%E -2.64%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.77%EV -6.50%E -2.77%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-19 11:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.12%E -2.64%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.77%EV -6.50%E -2.77%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-19 11:21
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.12%E -2.64%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.77%EV -6.50%E -2.77%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-19 11:20
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.12%E -2.64%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.77%EV -6.50%E -2.77%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-19 11:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.12%E -2.64%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.77%EV -6.50%E -2.77%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-19 15:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -7.12%E -2.64%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.69%EV -7.30%E -3.13%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -8.36%E -2.36%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-20 15:15
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -7.12%E -2.64%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -10.48%E -4.66%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-21 12:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 33.82%EV -7.81%E -2.91%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.65%EV -11.27%E -5.06%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.53%EV -8.36%E -2.36%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-20 15:10
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -8.84%E -3.34%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.15%EV -4.51%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.49%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 14:00
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.04%EV -8.84%E -3.34%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -6.50%E -2.77%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-22 09:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -8.84%E -3.34%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -8.49%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-20 20:20
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -10.56%E -4.06%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -10.48%E -4.66%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -3.20%E -0.854%K -1.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-21 16:12
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.56%E -4.06%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -8.49%E -3.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-19 11:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -10.56%E -4.06%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.55%EV -9.29%E -4.07%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-19 11:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -10.56%E -4.06%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.23%EV -16.45%E -7.83%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.47%EV -12.24%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-21 17:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.07%EV -12.28%E -4.82%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.74%EV -10.48%E -4.66%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -8.36%E -2.36%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-22 23:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.81%EV -12.28%E -4.82%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.46%EV -10.48%E -4.66%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.73%EV -10.94%E -3.17%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-19 10:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.81%EV -12.28%E -4.82%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.46%EV -10.48%E -4.66%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.73%EV -10.94%E -3.17%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-19 10:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.81%EV -12.28%E -4.82%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.46%EV -10.48%E -4.66%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.73%EV -10.94%E -3.17%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-19 11:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.06%EV -12.28%E -4.82%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.02%EV -13.66%E -6.30%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.92%EV -13.53%E -4.04%K -5.76%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-20 15:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.95%EV -14.00%E -5.60%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -12.47%E -5.67%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.33%EV -10.94%E -3.17%K -4.47%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-22 23:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.