The School of Odds
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Hamburger SV v Eintracht Frankfurt

2026-10-27 17:00 UTC — DFB-Pokal

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hamburger SV (Local)

Prediction 36.34%2.75fair odd
EV +12.67%
Edge +4.09%
Kelly +6.03%
Growth +0.764%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.85%34.79%36.34%37.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.522.503.1042.55%39.71%40.00%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Eintracht Frankfurt (Visit)

Prediction 37.00%2.70fair odd
EV -5.64%
Edge -2.21%
Kelly -3.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.56%38.92%37.00%45.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.392.422.5548.78%41.84%41.24%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.65%3.75fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -0.374%
Kelly -0.513%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.01%26.29%26.65%26.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.393.403.7031.25%29.46%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Hamburger SV (Local): 36.34%; Eintracht Frankfurt (Visit): 37.00%; Draw: 26.65%. For Hamburger SV (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.75. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.10, producing a positive expected value of +12.67%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV +12.67%E +4.09%K +6.03%G +0.764%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -24.14%E -11.78%K -22.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -1.39%E -0.374%K -0.513%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-19 15:05
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.32%E -2.87%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.64%E -2.21%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-02 08:05
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.14%E -3.66%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-02 07:55
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.14%E -3.66%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-02 10:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.14%E -3.66%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-02 10:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.14%E -3.66%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.38%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-02 10:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.10%EV -11.68%E -4.81%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.32%EV -13.04%E -5.55%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-02 06:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -12.77%E -5.32%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.87%EV -16.74%E -7.44%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.63%EV -14.71%E -4.60%K -6.69%G +0.000%17.4%2026-10-02 11:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.02%EV -14.59%E -6.21%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.02%EV -13.04%E -5.55%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -10.71%E -3.20%K -4.56%G +0.000%15.0%2026-10-02 06:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.87%EV -14.59%E -6.21%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.87%EV -13.04%E -5.55%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.26%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-02 06:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Arbitrage (5 combinations) +1.52%Tipico (DE) 3.10 (32.7%) / BetMGM 2.55 (39.8%) / Tipico (DE) 3.70 (27.4%)Show all 5 combinations
Hamburger SV (Local)Eintracht Frankfurt (Visit)DrawMargin
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.7%)BetMGM🎯 2.55 (39.8%)Tipico (DE)🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.52%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)LeoVegas🎯 2.50 (40.3%)Tipico (DE)🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)888sport🎯 2.50 (40.3%)Tipico (DE)🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.50 (40.3%)Tipico (DE)🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.50 (40.3%)Tipico (DE)🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%