Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hamburger SV v Eintracht Frankfurt

2026-10-27 17:00 UTC — DFB-Pokal

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

35%

40%

25%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hamburger SV (Local)

Prediction 34.90%2.87fair odd

EV -0.528%

Edge -0.185%

Kelly -0.286%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

32.62%34.90%34.90%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.302.462.352.8543.48%40.58%42.55%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Eintracht Frankfurt (Visit)

Prediction 39.72%2.52fair odd

EV +1.29%

Edge +0.505%

Kelly +0.831%

Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

37.19%39.72%39.72%42.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.202.322.302.5545.45%43.02%43.48%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.38%3.94fair odd

EV -6.11%

Edge -1.65%

Kelly -2.26%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

24.93%25.38%25.38%25.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.303.503.503.7030.30%28.57%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Hamburger SV (Local): 34.90%; Eintracht Frankfurt (Visit): 39.72%; Draw: 25.38%. For Eintracht Frankfurt (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.55, producing a positive expected value of +1.29%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Draw	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -11.00%E -4.31%K -7.10%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +1.29%E +0.505%K +0.831%G +0.011%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -6.11%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -12.74%E -5.10%K -8.50%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -2.68%E -1.10%K -1.85%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -9.91%E -2.79%K -3.89%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-09-12 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 37.13%EV -17.98%E -7.65%K -13.32%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 37.94%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 24.93%EV -11.18%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000%	14.6%	2026-09-12 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 37.50%EV -19.72%E -8.58%K -15.17%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 37.50%EV -8.64%E -3.76%K -6.65%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 25.00%EV -12.45%E -3.61%K -5.08%G +0.000%	15.9%	2026-09-12 14:19
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 36.28%EV -17.98%E -7.65%K -13.32%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 37.89%EV -10.63%E -4.72%K -8.50%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 25.83%EV -16.26%E -4.93%K -7.07%G +0.000%	17.3%	2026-09-12 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 36.09%EV -17.98%E -7.65%K -13.32%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 38.21%EV -11.82%E -5.32%K -9.69%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 25.70%EV -16.26%E -4.93%K -7.07%G +0.000%	17.9%	2026-09-12 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -0.528%E -0.185%K -0.286%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.61%E -5.73%K -10.51%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.11%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-09-12 14:20

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.