The School of Odds

Hallescher FC v FC Schalke 04

2026-08-24 18:45 UTC — DFB-Pokal

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Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Hallescher FC (Local)

Prediction 14.97%6.68fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -0.410%
Kelly -0.484%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.27%14.97%15.19%17.15%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.905.615.606.5020%18%18%15%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

FC Schalke 04 (Visit)

Prediction 66.63%1.50fair odd
EV -4.72%
Edge -3.30%
Kelly -10.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.87%66.63%66.38%67.19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.281.351.341.4378%74%75%70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 18.40%5.44fair odd
EV -3.42%
Edge -0.651%
Kelly -0.804%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.65%18.40%18.44%19.07%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.454.824.805.2522%21%21%19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -2.66%E -0.410%K -0.484%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -8.05%E -5.84%K -21.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -8.01%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-07 23:19
BetMGM6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV -6.41%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.61%EV -4.72%E -3.30%K -10.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV -3.42%E -0.651%K -0.804%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 10:30
Codere (IT)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -10.15%E -1.69%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -6.72%E -4.80%K -16.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -8.01%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-05 22:04
LeoVegas5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -13.15%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.52%EV -8.05%E -5.84%K -21.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -4.34%E -0.834%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 07:30
NetBet (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 15.23%EV -16.14%E -2.88%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 66.63%EV -14.72%E -11.50%K -52.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.14%EV -13.53%E -2.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%17.3%2026-07-22 13:44
Betclic (FR)5.25I 19.05%NM 16.16%EV -21.38%E -4.07%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 64.77%EV -12.72%E -9.71%K -41.02%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.07%EV -18.13%E -4.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%17.9%2026-07-07 14:30
Winamax (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 16.77%EV -22.13%E -4.26%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 65.07%EV -10.72%E -8.00%K -31.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.16%EV -11.69%E -2.44%K -3.08%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-05 10:30
Unibet (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.12%EV -25.13%E -5.03%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 63.87%EV -10.72%E -8.00%K -31.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.02%EV -17.21%E -3.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%16.8%2026-07-05 10:30
Winamax (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 17.15%EV -26.62%E -5.43%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 64.17%EV -12.72%E -9.71%K -41.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.68%EV -17.21%E -3.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%19.0%2026-07-05 10:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.