The School of Odds

Hallescher FC v FC Schalke 04

2026-08-21 16:00 UTC — DFB-Pokal

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Hallescher FC (Local)

Prediction 14.77%6.77fair odd
EV -4.01%
Edge -0.618%
Kelly -0.730%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.29%14.77%14.77%15.24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
6.256.386.386.5016%16%16%15%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

FC Schalke 04 (Visit)

Prediction 67.72%1.48fair odd
EV -3.17%
Edge -2.21%
Kelly -7.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.61%67.72%67.72%68.82%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.351.391.391.4374%72%72%70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 17.52%5.71fair odd
EV -3.65%
Edge -0.664%
Kelly -0.812%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.89%17.52%17.52%18.14%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
5.255.385.385.5019%19%19%18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -4.01%E -0.618%K -0.730%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -8.58%E -6.36%K -24.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -3.65%E -0.664%K -0.812%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-06 22:09
BetMGM6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV -7.71%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.61%EV -3.17%E -2.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV -8.03%E -1.53%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-11 09:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.