The School of Odds

Hallescher FC v FC Schalke 04

2026-08-21 16:00 — DFB-Pokal

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Hallescher FC (Local)

6.2516.00%Min
6.3815.69%Mean
6.3815.69%Median
6.5015.38%Max
14.29%6.997Min
15.24%6.561Max
14.77%6.772Mean
14.77%6.772Median
14.77%6.772IQM
14.85%6.732Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 6.50 under the IQM model: 14.77%

EV -4.01%Edge -0.618%Kelly -0.730%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: FC Schalke 04 (Visit)

1.3574.07%Min
1.3971.94%Mean
1.3971.94%Median
1.4369.93%Max
66.61%1.501Min
68.82%1.453Max
67.72%1.477Mean
67.72%1.477Median
67.72%1.477IQM
67.51%1.481Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.43 under the IQM model: 67.72%

EV -3.17%Edge -2.21%Kelly -7.37%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

5.2519.05%Min
5.3818.60%Mean
5.3818.60%Median
5.5018.18%Max
16.89%5.920Min
18.14%5.511Max
17.52%5.708Mean
17.52%5.708Median
17.52%5.708IQM
17.63%5.672Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 5.50 under the IQM model: 17.52%

EV -3.65%Edge -0.664%Kelly -0.812%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerHallescher FC (Local) ▼FC Schalke 04 (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)6.50I 15.38% NM 14.29%EV -4.01% E -0.618% K -0.730% G +0.000%1.35I 74.07% NM 68.82%EV -8.58% E -6.36% K -24.53% G +0.000%5.50I 18.18% NM 16.89%EV -3.65% E -0.664% K -0.812% G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-06 22:09
BetMGM6.25I 16.00% NM 15.24%EV -7.71% E -1.23% K -1.47% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 66.61%EV -3.17% E -2.21% K -7.37% G +0.000%5.25I 19.05% NM 18.14%EV -8.03% E -1.53% K -1.89% G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-11 09:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth