Language:English
Greuther Fürth v VfL Bochum
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Greuther Fürth (Local)
Prediction 30.80%3.25fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.451%
Kelly -0.656%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.48%30.76%30.81%32.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.932.923.2036.36%34.15%34.19%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
VfL Bochum (Visit)
Prediction 41.72%2.40fair odd
EV -4.05%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -3.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.94%41.76%41.74%42.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.232.232.3046.51%44.93%44.94%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.48%3.64fair odd
EV -1.06%
Edge -0.293%
Kelly -0.406%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.07%27.48%27.44%28.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.403.383.6031.25%29.44%29.63%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Greuther Fürth (Local): 30.80%; VfL Bochum (Visit): 41.72%; Draw: 27.48%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -1.06%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -1.44%E -0.451%K -0.656%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -6.14%E -2.73%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 10:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.14%E -2.73%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 10:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.16%EV -6.68%E -2.20%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.54%EV -8.22%E -3.74%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.30%EV -11.23%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 10:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -8.22%E -3.74%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -1.06%E -0.293%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 10:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.14%E -2.73%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.22%E -3.74%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-23 10:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -10.31%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-23 10:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -10.31%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-23 10:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -10.31%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-23 10:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.62%EV -8.53%E -2.87%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.96%EV -7.39%E -3.33%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -12.05%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-23 10:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -9.14%E -3.10%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.30%EV -5.72%E -2.53%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 10:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -9.14%E -3.10%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -8.22%E -3.74%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -4.05%E -1.76%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -2.43%E -0.685%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -4.05%E -1.76%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -2.43%E -0.685%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -4.05%E -1.76%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -2.43%E -0.685%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -4.05%E -1.76%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -2.43%E -0.685%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -4.05%E -1.76%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -2.43%E -0.685%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -11.30%E -3.92%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -6.14%E -2.73%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -6.55%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 10:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -12.22%E -4.29%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -4.05%E -1.76%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.48%EV -12.22%E -4.29%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -10.31%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -13.76%E -4.92%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.62%EV -6.97%E -3.13%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.25%EV -15.30%E -5.56%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.87%EV -9.47%E -4.37%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.25%EV -15.30%E -5.56%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.87%EV -9.47%E -4.37%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.25%EV -15.30%E -5.56%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.87%EV -9.47%E -4.37%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -9.30%E -2.82%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.