The School of Odds

Greuther Fürth v VfL Bochum

2026-08-23 11:00 — DFB-Pokal

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (3 in analysis)

Option 1: Greuther Fürth (Local)

Odds
2.2544.44%Min
2.4441.06%Mean
2.5040.00%Median
2.6038.46%Max
Consensus probabilities
35.65%2.805Min
37.23%2.686Max
36.52%2.738Mean
36.86%2.713Median
36.52%2.738IQM
36.56%2.735Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.60 under the IQM model: 36.52%

EV -5.05%Edge -1.94%Kelly -3.16%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: VfL Bochum (Visit)

Odds
2.4041.67%Min
2.5639.11%Mean
2.5040.00%Median
2.7536.36%Max
Consensus probabilities
34.24%2.920Min
37.08%2.697Max
35.40%2.825Mean
34.78%2.875Median
35.40%2.825IQM
35.32%2.831Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.75 under the IQM model: 35.40%

EV -2.65%Edge -0.963%Kelly -1.51%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.0033.33%Min
3.1931.32%Mean
3.2530.77%Median
3.4029.41%Max
Consensus probabilities
27.27%3.668Min
28.62%3.494Max
28.08%3.561Mean
28.36%3.526Median
28.08%3.561IQM
28.12%3.556Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.40 under the IQM model: 28.08%

EV -4.53%Edge -1.33%Kelly -1.89%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

BookmakerGreuther Fürth (Local) ▼VfL Bochum (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46% NM 35.65%EV -5.05% E -1.94% K -3.16% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 37.08%EV -11.50% E -4.60% K -7.67% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.27%EV -4.53% E -1.33% K -1.89% G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-24 15:00
BetMGM2.55I 39.22% NM 37.04%EV -6.88% E -2.70% K -4.44% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.34%EV -2.65% E -0.963% K -1.51% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.62%EV -7.33% E -2.22% K -3.19% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 10:30
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00% NM 36.86%EV -8.70% E -3.48% K -5.80% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 34.78%EV -6.19% E -2.34% K -3.75% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.36%EV -8.74% E -2.69% K -3.88% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 10:30
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00% NM 36.62%EV -8.70% E -3.48% K -5.80% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 35.21%EV -7.96% E -3.06% K -4.97% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.17%EV -8.74% E -2.69% K -3.88% G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 10:30
Betclic (FR)2.42I 41.32% NM 35.07%EV -11.62% E -4.80% K -8.19% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 37.72%EV -20.35% E -9.04% K -16.28% G +0.000%3.12I 32.05% NM 27.20%EV -12.39% E -3.97% K -5.84% G +0.000%17.8%2026-06-24 17:49
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55% NM 37.23%EV -14.18% E -6.03% K -10.50% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 35.00%EV -11.50% E -4.60% K -7.67% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 27.77%EV -11.55% E -3.67% K -5.37% G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-05 10:30
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48% NM 37.22%EV -16.01% E -6.96% K -12.31% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 34.24%EV -11.50% E -4.60% K -7.67% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 28.54%EV -15.76% E -5.25% K -7.88% G +0.000%16.8%2026-07-05 10:30
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44% NM 37.21%EV -17.83% E -7.93% K -14.27% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 34.88%EV -15.04% E -6.27% K -10.74% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 27.91%EV -15.76% E -5.25% K -7.88% G +0.000%19.4%2026-07-05 10:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth