Greuther Fürth v VfL Bochum

2026-08-23 11:00 UTC — DFB-Pokal

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Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

37%

35%

28%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Greuther Fürth (Local)

Prediction 37.00%2.70fair odd

EV -0.092%

Edge -0.034%

Kelly -0.054%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

34.26%36.37%37.00%37.82%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.252.422.352.7044%41%43%37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

VfL Bochum (Visit)

Prediction 34.63%2.89fair odd

EV -4.76%

Edge -1.73%

Kelly -2.72%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

34.11%35.51%34.63%38.54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.402.532.552.7542%39%39%36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 28.36%3.53fair odd

EV -3.56%

Edge -1.05%

Kelly -1.48%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

27.20%28.12%28.36%28.62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.973.173.153.4034%32%32%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Tipico (DE)	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -0.092%E -0.034%K -0.054%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -16.88%E -7.03%K -12.06%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-07 23:10
BetMGM	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.64%E -2.21%K -3.64%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -4.76%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-05 10:30
Codere (IT)	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -8.22%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.47%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-07-25 05:00
LeoVegas	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.49%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -9.95%E -3.83%K -6.22%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-07-25 05:00
Betclic (FR)	2.35I 42.55%NM 37.32%EV -13.04%E -5.55%K -9.66%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 34.39%EV -11.68%E -4.58%K -7.54%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -12.07%E -3.89%K -5.75%G +0.000%	14.0%	2026-07-25 04:59
Winamax (DE)	2.35I 42.55%NM 36.97%EV -13.04%E -5.55%K -9.66%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 35.46%EV -15.15%E -6.18%K -10.45%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 27.58%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%	15.1%	2026-07-25 05:00
Unibet (FR)	2.30I 43.48%NM 37.82%EV -14.89%E -6.48%K -11.46%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 34.11%EV -11.68%E -4.58%K -7.54%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 28.06%EV -12.07%E -3.89%K -5.75%G +0.000%	15.0%	2026-07-25 05:00
NetBet (FR)	2.30I 43.48%NM 36.86%EV -14.89%E -6.48%K -11.46%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 34.60%EV -15.15%E -6.18%K -10.45%G +0.000%	2.97I 33.67%NM 28.54%EV -15.76%E -5.31%K -8.00%G +0.000%	18.0%	2026-07-25 04:59
Winamax (FR)	2.25I 44.44%NM 37.21%EV -16.74%E -7.44%K -13.39%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 34.88%EV -16.88%E -7.03%K -12.06%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 27.91%EV -14.91%E -4.97%K -7.45%G +0.000%	19.4%	2026-07-25 05:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.