Greuther Fürth v VfL Bochum

2026-08-21 16:00 — DFB-Pokal

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Greuther Fürth (Local)

Odds

2.5539.22%Min

2.5838.83%Mean

2.5838.83%Median

2.6038.46%Max

Consensus probabilities

35.65%2.805Min

37.04%2.700Max

36.35%2.751Mean

36.35%2.751Median

36.35%2.751IQM

36.43%2.745Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.60 under the IQM model: 36.35%

EV -5.50%Edge -2.12%Kelly -3.44%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: VfL Bochum (Visit)

Odds

2.5040.00%Min

2.6338.10%Mean

2.6338.10%Median

2.7536.36%Max

Consensus probabilities

34.34%2.912Min

37.08%2.697Max

35.71%2.800Mean

35.71%2.800Median

35.71%2.800IQM

35.54%2.814Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.75 under the IQM model: 35.71%

EV -1.79%Edge -0.652%Kelly -1.02%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds

3.3030.30%Min

3.3529.85%Mean

3.3529.85%Median

3.4029.41%Max

Consensus probabilities

27.27%3.668Min

28.62%3.494Max

27.94%3.579Mean

27.94%3.579Median

27.94%3.579IQM

28.03%3.568Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.40 under the IQM model: 27.94%

EV -5.00%Edge -1.47%Kelly -2.08%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Greuther Fürth (Local) ▼	VfL Bochum (Visit)	Draw	Margin	Updated
Tipico (DE)	2.60I 38.46% NM 35.65%EV -5.50% E -2.12% K -3.44% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.08%EV -10.72% E -4.29% K -7.15% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.27%EV -5.00% E -1.47% K -2.08% G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-06-06 22:09
BetMGM	2.55I 39.22% NM 37.04%EV -7.32% E -2.87% K -4.72% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 34.34%EV -1.79% E -0.652% K -1.02% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 28.62%EV -7.79% E -2.36% K -3.39% G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-11 09:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth