The School of OddsFortuna Düsseldorf v SC Freiburg
Head to Head
Option 1: Fortuna Düsseldorf (Local)
Odds
5.1019.61%Min
5.7717.33%Mean
6.0016.67%Median
6.5015.38%Max
Consensus probabilities
14.63%6.834Min
16.54%6.047Max
15.00%6.666Mean
14.95%6.688Median
15.00%6.666IQM
14.95%6.689Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 6.50 under the IQM model: 15.00%
EV -2.50%Edge -0.384%Kelly -0.454%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: SC Freiburg (Visit)
Odds
1.3772.99%Min
1.4370.14%Mean
1.4071.43%Median
1.5066.67%Max
Consensus probabilities
61.06%1.638Min
66.08%1.513Max
64.32%1.555Mean
63.49%1.575Median
64.32%1.555IQM
64.19%1.558Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.50 under the IQM model: 64.32%
EV -3.51%Edge -2.34%Kelly -7.03%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
3.8026.32%Min
4.2123.74%Mean
4.2023.81%Median
5.0020.00%Max
Consensus probabilities
18.50%5.405Min
22.50%4.445Max
20.67%4.837Mean
21.56%4.639Median
20.67%4.837IQM
20.86%4.794Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 5.00 under the IQM model: 20.67%
EV +3.37%Edge +0.675%Kelly +0.843%Growth +0.028%
Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Fortuna Düsseldorf (Local) | SC Freiburg (Visit) | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.42%EV -10.00% E -1.67% K -2.00% G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43% NM 66.08%EV -9.95% E -7.10% K -24.86% G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.50%EV +3.37% E +0.675% K +0.843% G +0.028% | 8.1% | 2026-06-24 15:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.25I 19.05% NM 16.13%EV -21.25% E -4.05% K -5.00% G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34% NM 64.63%EV -15.73% E -12.01% K -50.76% G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73% NM 19.24%EV -9.03% E -2.05% K -2.66% G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-06-24 17:49 |
| BetMGM | 6.50I 15.38% NM 14.63%EV -2.50% E -0.384% K -0.454% G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67% NM 63.40%EV -3.51% E -2.34% K -7.03% G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09% NM 21.96%EV -10.48% E -2.42% K -3.15% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 10:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 6.20I 16.13% NM 14.95%EV -7.00% E -1.13% K -1.35% G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49% NM 63.49%EV -6.09% E -4.17% K -13.23% G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26% NM 21.56%EV -11.10% E -2.58% K -3.36% G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-05 10:30 |
| LeoVegas | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.23%EV -10.00% E -1.67% K -2.00% G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97% NM 63.02%EV -6.73% E -4.64% K -14.95% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 21.76%EV -13.17% E -3.13% K -4.11% G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-05 10:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.40I 18.52% NM 16.11%EV -19.00% E -3.52% K -4.32% G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43% NM 62.14%EV -9.95% E -7.10% K -24.86% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 21.75%EV -17.30% E -4.33% K -5.77% G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-07-05 10:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.10I 19.61% NM 16.54%EV -23.50% E -4.61% K -5.73% G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99% NM 61.56%EV -11.87% E -8.67% K -32.09% G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97% NM 21.91%EV -20.40% E -5.30% K -7.16% G +0.000% | 18.6% | 2026-07-05 10:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.20I 19.23% NM 16.44%EV -22.00% E -4.23% K -5.24% G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43% NM 61.06%EV -9.95% E -7.10% K -24.86% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 22.50%EV -21.44% E -5.64% K -7.66% G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-07-05 10:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth