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FC Würzburger Kickers v 1. FC Köln
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Würzburger Kickers (Local)
Prediction 11.40%8.78fair odd
EV +8.26%
Edge +0.869%
Kelly +0.971%
Growth +0.080%
assuming max odds 9.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.94%11.38%11.16%12.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.007.988.009.5014.29%12.54%12.50%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
1. FC Köln (Visit)
Prediction 72.57%1.38fair odd
EV -3.48%
Edge -2.62%
Kelly -10.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.83%72.54%72.86%74.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.281.291.3381.97%78.10%77.52%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 16.03%6.24fair odd
EV -3.79%
Edge -0.632%
Kelly -0.758%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.41%16.08%15.99%17.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.105.575.506.0019.61%17.95%18.18%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Würzburger Kickers (Local): 11.40%; 1. FC Köln (Visit): 72.57%; Draw: 16.03%. For FC Würzburger Kickers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.78. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.26%.
Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV +8.26%E +0.869%K +0.971%G +0.080% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -7.84%E -6.17%K -29.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.79%E -0.632%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-24 15:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -3.14%E -0.369%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.17%EV -6.39%E -4.95%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.79%E -0.632%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-24 15:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -3.14%E -0.369%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -5.66%E -4.35%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.80%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-24 15:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -3.14%E -0.369%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -9.29%E -7.43%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -11.81%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-24 15:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 10.80%EV -5.99%E -0.726%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.01%EV -11.46%E -9.40%K -52.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.19%EV -11.81%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-24 15:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -8.84%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -5.66%E -4.35%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -3.79%E -0.632%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-24 15:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -8.84%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -5.66%E -4.35%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -11.81%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-24 15:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -8.84%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -5.66%E -4.35%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -11.81%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-24 15:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -8.84%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -5.66%E -4.35%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -11.81%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-24 15:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -8.84%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -5.66%E -4.35%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -11.81%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-24 15:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -8.84%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -5.66%E -4.35%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -11.81%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-24 15:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.84%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -6.39%E -4.95%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.81%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-24 15:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.84%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -6.39%E -4.95%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.81%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-24 15:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.84%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -6.39%E -4.95%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.81%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-24 15:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.32%EV -11.69%E -1.51%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.77%EV -3.48%E -2.62%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -3.79%E -0.632%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-24 14:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -14.53%E -1.94%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.25%EV -7.11%E -5.56%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -3.79%E -0.632%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-24 15:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -14.53%E -1.94%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.86%EV -7.84%E -6.17%K -29.02%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.14%EV -15.82%E -3.01%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-24 15:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.81%EV -14.53%E -1.94%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.83%EV -9.29%E -7.43%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.36%EV -18.22%E -3.57%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-24 15:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.81%EV -14.53%E -1.94%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.83%EV -9.29%E -7.43%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.36%EV -18.22%E -3.57%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-24 15:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.81%EV -14.53%E -1.94%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.83%EV -9.29%E -7.43%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.36%EV -18.22%E -3.57%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-24 15:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -20.23%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.37%EV -8.56%E -6.80%K -32.93%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.78%EV -8.60%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-24 15:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.