The School of Odds

FC Energie Cottbus v Augsburg

2026-08-22 11:00 — DFB-Pokal

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (3 in analysis)

Option 1: FC Energie Cottbus (Local)

3.9025.64%Min
4.3423.03%Mean
4.2023.81%Median
5.0020.00%Max
18.95%5.277Min
23.64%4.230Max
20.75%4.819Mean
19.67%5.084Median
20.75%4.819IQM
20.51%4.875Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 5.00 under the IQM model: 20.75%

EV +3.77%Edge +0.753%Kelly +0.942%Growth +0.035%

Option 2: Augsburg (Visit)

1.5066.67%Min
1.5763.52%Mean
1.6062.50%Median
1.6560.61%Max
55.68%1.796Min
58.49%1.710Max
57.38%1.743Mean
57.78%1.731Median
57.38%1.743IQM
57.53%1.738Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.65 under the IQM model: 57.38%

EV -5.32%Edge -3.22%Kelly -8.19%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

3.7027.03%Min
4.0424.78%Mean
4.0524.69%Median
4.5022.22%Max
20.49%4.881Min
23.02%4.343Max
21.87%4.573Mean
22.55%4.435Median
21.87%4.573IQM
21.96%4.553Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.50 under the IQM model: 21.87%

EV -1.61%Edge -0.357%Kelly -0.459%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

BookmakerFC Energie Cottbus (Local) ▼Augsburg (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
BetMGM5.00I 20.00% NM 18.95%EV +3.77% E +0.753% K +0.942% G +0.035%1.62I 61.73% NM 58.49%EV -7.04% E -4.35% K -11.36% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 22.56%EV -8.17% E -1.94% K -2.55% G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-11 09:40
Codere (IT)4.70I 21.28% NM 19.67%EV -2.46% E -0.523% K -0.665% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 57.78%EV -8.19% E -5.12% K -13.65% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.55%EV -10.35% E -2.52% K -3.34% G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 10:30
LeoVegas4.60I 21.74% NM 19.96%EV -4.54% E -0.986% K -1.26% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 57.38%EV -8.19% E -5.12% K -13.65% G +0.000%4.05I 24.69% NM 22.67%EV -11.45% E -2.83% K -3.75% G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-05 10:30
Winamax (DE)4.20I 23.81% NM 20.72%EV -12.84% E -3.06% K -4.01% G +0.000%1.52I 65.79% NM 57.25%EV -12.78% E -8.41% K -24.58% G +0.000%3.95I 25.32% NM 22.03%EV -13.63% E -3.45% K -4.62% G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-05 10:30
Unibet (FR)4.00I 25.00% NM 21.30%EV -16.99% E -4.25% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.53I 65.36% NM 55.68%EV -12.21% E -7.98% K -23.03% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 23.02%EV -19.10% E -5.16% K -7.07% G +0.000%17.4%2026-07-05 10:30
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00% NM 21.13%EV -16.99% E -4.25% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.50I 66.67% NM 56.34%EV -13.93% E -9.29% K -27.86% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 22.54%EV -18.01% E -4.80% K -6.55% G +0.000%18.3%2026-07-05 10:25
Tipico (DE)3.90I 25.64% NM 23.64%EV -19.06% E -4.89% K -6.57% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 55.87%EV -5.32% E -3.22% K -8.19% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.49%EV -1.61% E -0.357% K -0.459% G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-17 23:20
Betclic (FR)3.55I 28.17% NM 23.83%EV -26.33% E -7.42% K -10.32% G +0.000%1.53I 65.36% NM 55.29%EV -12.21% E -7.98% K -23.03% G +0.000%4.05I 24.69% NM 20.89%EV -11.45% E -2.83% K -3.75% G +0.000%18.2%2026-06-24 17:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth