Language:English
FC Energie Cottbus v Augsburg
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Energie Cottbus (Local)
Prediction 19.35%5.17fair odd
EV +0.622%
Edge +0.120%
Kelly +0.148%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 5.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.15%19.44%19.18%20.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.804.805.2022.73%20.83%20.83%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Augsburg (Visit)
Prediction 59.49%1.68fair odd
EV -3.62%
Edge -2.24%
Kelly -5.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.31%59.40%59.67%60.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.551.561.6266.67%64.46%64.31%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.16%4.73fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -0.581%
Kelly -0.743%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.29%21.16%21.15%21.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.344.404.6024.39%23.07%22.73%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Energie Cottbus (Local): 19.35%; Augsburg (Visit): 59.49%; Draw: 21.16%. For FC Energie Cottbus (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.17. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.622%.
Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV +0.622%E +0.120%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.88%EV -7.79%E -5.02%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -4.79%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 10:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -3.25%E -0.650%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.98%EV -6.00%E -3.80%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV -4.79%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-22 10:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -3.25%E -0.650%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -4.79%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 10:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -3.25%E -0.650%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.70%EV -6.00%E -3.80%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -6.91%E -1.57%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 10:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -3.25%E -0.650%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -6.91%E -1.57%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 10:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -3.25%E -0.650%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -6.91%E -1.57%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 10:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -3.25%E -0.650%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -6.91%E -1.57%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 10:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -3.25%E -0.650%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -6.91%E -1.57%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 10:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.10%EV -5.18%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.62%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -6.91%E -1.57%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 10:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -7.12%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.25%EV -7.79%E -5.02%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -10.08%E -2.37%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 10:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -7.12%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.01%EV -8.98%E -5.87%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -6.91%E -1.57%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 10:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.03%EV -7.12%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.72%EV -8.98%E -5.87%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -9.02%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-22 10:43 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -7.12%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -8.98%E -5.87%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.14%E -2.65%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 10:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -7.12%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -8.98%E -5.87%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.14%E -2.65%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 10:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -7.12%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -8.98%E -5.87%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.14%E -2.65%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 10:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -9.05%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.84%EV -7.19%E -4.61%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -2.67%E -0.581%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 10:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.26%EV -9.05%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.18%EV -8.98%E -5.87%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.14%E -2.65%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 10:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -10.99%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.41%EV -3.62%E -2.24%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -4.79%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-22 10:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -10.99%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -11.14%E -2.65%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 19:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -10.99%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.10%EV -10.76%E -7.17%K -21.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -13.25%E -3.23%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-22 10:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -10.99%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.10%EV -10.76%E -7.17%K -21.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -13.25%E -3.23%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-22 10:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -10.99%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.10%EV -10.76%E -7.17%K -21.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -13.25%E -3.23%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-22 10:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -12.92%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.81%E -3.01%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -4.79%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 10:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -14.86%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.86%EV -9.57%E -6.30%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -9.02%E -2.10%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-22 10:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.