The School of Odds

FC Energie Cottbus v Augsburg

2026-08-22 11:00 UTC — DFB-Pokal

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

FC Energie Cottbus (Local)

Prediction 19.85%5.04fair odd
EV -0.728%
Edge -0.146%
Kelly -0.182%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.95%20.91%19.85%25.01%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.704.344.405.0027%23%23%20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Augsburg (Visit)

Prediction 57.53%1.74fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -3.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.43%56.96%57.53%58.49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.471.571.551.7068%64%65%59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 22.62%4.42fair odd
EV +1.79%
Edge +0.397%
Kelly +0.510%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.56%22.13%22.62%22.89%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.753.983.904.5027%25%26%22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -26.54%E -7.17%K -9.83%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -2.20%E -1.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV +1.79%E +0.397%K +0.510%G +0.009%8.1%2026-07-07 23:05
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -0.728%E -0.146%K -0.182%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -6.81%E -4.20%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -5.00%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-11 09:40
Codere (IT)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.74%EV -6.68%E -1.42%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -7.38%E -4.59%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -7.26%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 05:05
LeoVegas4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.67%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.96%E -4.97%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -9.52%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 05:00
Winamax (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.82%EV -16.61%E -3.96%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 56.77%EV -11.41%E -7.41%K -21.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.42%EV -11.79%E -3.02%K -4.06%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-25 05:00
Betclic (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 19.93%EV -12.64%E -2.87%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.30%EV -11.98%E -7.83%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.77%EV -12.92%E -3.36%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-25 04:59
Unibet (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.17%EV -18.60%E -4.54%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 55.99%EV -10.83%E -6.99%K -19.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.84%EV -14.05%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-25 05:00
NetBet (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 19.36%EV -12.64%E -2.87%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 57.93%EV -15.44%E -10.50%K -32.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.71%EV -15.18%E -4.05%K -5.52%G +0.000%17.4%2026-07-25 05:08
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.13%EV -20.58%E -5.15%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 56.34%EV -13.71%E -9.14%K -27.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.54%EV -15.18%E -4.05%K -5.52%G +0.000%18.3%2026-07-25 05:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.