Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Energie Cottbus v Augsburg

2026-08-22 11:00 UTC — DFB-Pokal

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

22%

57%

22%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Energie Cottbus (Local)

Prediction 21.62%4.63fair odd

EV +8.09%

Edge +1.62%

Kelly +2.02%

Growth +0.164%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

18.95%21.62%20.90%25.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.704.174.055.0027.03%24.00%24.69%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Augsburg (Visit)

Prediction 56.80%1.76fair odd

EV -3.45%

Edge -2.03%

Kelly -4.93%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

54.43%56.80%57.47%58.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.481.591.601.7067.57%62.89%62.50%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.59%4.63fair odd

EV -2.86%

Edge -0.636%

Kelly -0.818%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

20.56%21.59%21.63%22.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.904.144.104.5025.64%24.15%24.39%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Energie Cottbus (Local): 21.62%; Augsburg (Visit): 56.80%; Draw: 21.59%. For FC Energie Cottbus (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.63. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.00, producing a positive expected value of +8.09%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV +8.09%E +1.62%K +2.02%G +0.164%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -7.99%E -4.93%K -12.89%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -9.34%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-06-11 09:40
Betclic (FR)🎯	4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -4.88%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -9.13%E -5.70%K -15.21%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -8.26%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-08-14 11:09
LeoVegas🎯	4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -6.39%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.20%EV -7.99%E -4.93%K -12.89%G +0.000%	4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -6.53%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-10 08:35
NetBet (FR)🎯	4.10I 24.39%NM 20.74%EV -11.36%E -2.77%K -3.67%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 57.46%EV -15.94%E -10.77%K -33.21%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 21.80%EV -15.82%E -4.06%K -5.45%G +0.000%	17.6%	2026-08-14 11:19
Unibet (FR)🎯	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.53%E -3.38%K -4.51%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.13%E -5.70%K -15.21%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.66%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%	12.5%	2026-08-10 08:35
Winamax (DE)🎯	3.95I 25.32%NM 22.13%EV -14.61%E -3.70%K -4.95%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 56.02%EV -11.40%E -7.31%K -20.36%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 21.85%EV -13.66%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%	14.4%	2026-08-10 08:35
Winamax (FR)🎯	3.85I 25.97%NM 22.35%EV -16.77%E -4.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 55.87%EV -12.53%E -8.14%K -23.21%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 21.78%EV -14.74%E -3.73%K -5.00%G +0.000%	16.2%	2026-08-10 08:35
Tipico (DE)🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -20.01%E -5.41%K -7.41%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -3.45%E -2.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -2.86%E -0.636%K -0.818%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-07 23:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.