Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Carl Zeiss Jena v SV Darmstadt 98

2026-08-23 13:30 UTC — DFB-Pokal

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Carl Zeiss Jena (Local)

Prediction 18.61%5.37fair odd
EV +2.35%
Edge +0.427%
Kelly +0.521%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.16%18.53%18.58%19.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.965.005.5022.22%20.16%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SV Darmstadt 98 (Visit)

Prediction 59.95%1.67fair odd
EV -5.88%
Edge -3.74%
Kelly -10.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.93%59.92%60.01%60.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.521.531.5770.92%65.65%65.36%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.44%4.66fair odd
EV -3.51%
Edge -0.781%
Kelly -1.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.66%21.55%21.41%22.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.254.314.5025.00%23.54%23.17%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Carl Zeiss Jena (Local): 18.61%; SV Darmstadt 98 (Visit): 59.95%; Draw: 21.44%. For FC Carl Zeiss Jena (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.37. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.50, producing a positive expected value of +2.35%.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV +2.35%E +0.427%K +0.521%G +0.012%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.89%EV -7.08%E -4.57%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV -7.80%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 03:39
Unibet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -2.31%E -0.439%K -0.543%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -6.48%E -4.15%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 03:39
Unibet (SE)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -2.31%E -0.439%K -0.543%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -6.48%E -4.15%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 03:39
ATG (SE)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -2.31%E -0.439%K -0.543%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -6.48%E -4.15%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 03:39
Svenska Spel🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -2.31%E -0.439%K -0.543%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -6.48%E -4.15%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 03:39
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -6.96%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -5.88%E -3.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -5.66%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 03:44
LeoVegas🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -6.96%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -8.28%E -5.41%K -15.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.51%E -0.781%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-19 03:39
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -6.96%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.17%EV -7.68%E -4.99%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-19 03:39
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -6.96%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -8.28%E -5.41%K -15.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -7.16%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-19 03:39
Betclic (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.31%EV -6.96%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.64%EV -9.48%E -6.28%K -18.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-19 03:40
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -6.96%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.28%E -5.41%K -15.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-19 03:39
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -6.96%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.28%E -5.41%K -15.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-19 03:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -6.96%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.28%E -5.41%K -15.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-19 03:39
Winamax (DE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -8.82%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.37%EV -7.68%E -4.99%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.51%E -0.781%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-19 03:40
Grosvenor🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -8.82%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.96%EV -9.48%E -6.28%K -18.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-19 03:39
Virgin Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.47%EV -10.68%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 59.91%EV -11.27%E -7.62%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -12.09%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-19 03:39
LiveScore Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.47%EV -10.68%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 59.91%EV -11.27%E -7.62%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -12.09%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-19 03:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.47%EV -10.68%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 59.91%EV -11.27%E -7.62%K -23.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -12.09%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-19 03:39
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -11.61%E -2.44%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.69%EV -8.28%E -5.41%K -15.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.09%EV -7.16%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-19 07:29
Unibet (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -14.40%E -3.13%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -8.28%E -5.41%K -15.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -9.95%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-19 03:39
NetBet (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 18.48%EV -14.40%E -3.13%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 60.28%EV -15.47%E -10.97%K -37.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.25%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%17.7%2026-08-19 03:39
Winamax (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54%EV -16.26%E -3.61%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 59.01%EV -10.67%E -7.16%K -21.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -12.09%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-19 03:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.