语言:简体中文
Erzgebirge Aue v TSG Hoffenheim
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Erzgebirge Aue (主队)
预测 5.20%19.25公平赔率
EV +9.10%
优势 +0.433%
Kelly +0.455%
增长率 +0.041%
假设最高赔率为 21.00
博彩公司预测分布
4.48%5.40%5.05%7.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
12.5016.9217.0021.008.00%5.91%5.88%4.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
TSG Hoffenheim (客队)
预测 85.46%1.17公平赔率
EV -3.43%
优势 -3.04%
Kelly -26.41%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.13
博彩公司预测分布
82.50%85.29%85.54%86.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.061.101.101.1394.34%91.05%90.91%88.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 9.35%10.70公平赔率
EV +2.82%
优势 +0.256%
Kelly +0.282%
增长率 +0.008%
假设最高赔率为 11.00
博彩公司预测分布
8.45%9.31%9.41%11.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.009.399.3211.0012.50%10.65%10.72%9.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Erzgebirge Aue (主队)：5.20%；TSG Hoffenheim (客队)：85.46%；平局：9.35%。 对于“Erzgebirge Aue (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为19.25。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为21.00，对应+9.10%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.48%EV +9.10%E +0.433%K +0.455%G +0.041% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.60%EV -6.00%E -5.45%K -59.97%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -11.20%E -1.18%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 13:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.96%EV -1.29%E -0.068%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.47%EV -6.85%E -6.29%K -76.13%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV +2.82%E +0.256%K +0.282%G +0.008% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.96%EV -1.29%E -0.068%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.62%EV -6.00%E -5.45%K -59.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.53%E -0.653%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 13:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.96%EV -1.29%E -0.068%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.62%EV -6.00%E -5.45%K -59.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.53%E -0.653%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 07:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.96%EV -1.29%E -0.068%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.62%EV -6.00%E -5.45%K -59.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.53%E -0.653%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 07:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.96%EV -1.29%E -0.068%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.62%EV -6.00%E -5.45%K -59.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.53%E -0.653%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 07:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.93%EV -1.29%E -0.068%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.11%EV -6.00%E -5.45%K -59.97%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.96%EV -12.13%E -1.29%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -1.29%E -0.068%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.35%EV -6.85%E -6.29%K -76.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -20.55%E -2.42%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 13:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.11%EV -6.49%E -0.360%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.43%EV -6.85%E -6.29%K -76.13%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.46%EV -17.74%E -2.02%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.06%EV -6.49%E -0.360%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.85%EV -9.42%E -8.88%K -156.92%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.10%EV -6.53%E -0.653%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.47%EV -9.08%E -0.519%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.42%EV -4.29%E -3.83%K -35.73%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.11%EV -1.85%E -0.176%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-22 13:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV -11.68%E -0.687%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.86%EV -6.00%E -5.45%K -59.97%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV +2.82%E +0.256%K +0.282%G +0.008% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 13:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.47%EV -11.68%E -0.687%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.08%EV -7.71%E -7.14%K -96.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV +2.82%E +0.256%K +0.282%G +0.008% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 13:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.90%EV -16.88%E -1.05%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.60%EV -3.43%E -3.04%K -26.41%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -15.87%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 12:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.90%EV -16.88%E -1.05%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.60%EV -3.43%E -3.04%K -26.41%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -15.87%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 12:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.90%EV -16.88%E -1.05%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.60%EV -3.43%E -3.04%K -26.41%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -15.87%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 12:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.90%EV -16.88%E -1.05%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.60%EV -3.43%E -3.04%K -26.41%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -15.87%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 12:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.90%EV -16.88%E -1.05%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.60%EV -3.43%E -3.04%K -26.41%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -15.87%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 12:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.06%EV -22.07%E -1.47%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.59%EV -6.00%E -5.45%K -59.97%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -25.22%E -3.15%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-22 12:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.98%EV -22.07%E -1.47%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 84.58%EV -9.42%E -8.88%K -156.92%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.44%EV -11.20%E -1.18%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.36%EV -27.27%E -1.95%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 82.50%EV -7.71%E -7.14%K -96.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -25.22%E -3.15%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-22 12:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.36%EV -27.27%E -1.95%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 82.50%EV -7.71%E -7.14%K -96.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -25.22%E -3.15%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-22 12:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.36%EV -27.27%E -1.95%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 82.50%EV -7.71%E -7.14%K -96.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -25.22%E -3.15%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-22 12:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.18%EV -35.06%E -2.80%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.11%EV -7.71%E -7.14%K -96.33%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.70%EV -13.54%E -1.46%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-22 13:09 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。