Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eintracht Frankfurt v Borussia Dortmund

2026-12-02 19:00 UTC — DFB-Pokal

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eintracht Frankfurt (Local)

Prediction 25.79%3.88fair odd
EV -7.17%
Edge -1.99%
Kelly -2.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.79%25.79%25.79%25.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.603.603.6027.78%27.78%27.78%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Borussia Dortmund (Visit)

Prediction 51.57%1.94fair odd
EV -7.17%
Edge -3.98%
Kelly -8.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.57%51.57%51.57%51.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.801.801.8055.56%55.56%55.56%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.64%4.42fair odd
EV -7.17%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -2.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.64%22.64%22.64%22.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.104.104.1024.39%24.39%24.39%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Eintracht Frankfurt (Local): 25.79%; Borussia Dortmund (Visit): 51.57%; Draw: 22.64%. For Eintracht Frankfurt (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.88. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.60, with an expected value of -7.17%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -7.17%E -3.98%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.17%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 18:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.