The School of Odds

Eintracht Braunschweig v Union Berlin

2026-08-23 13:30 — DFB-Pokal

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (3 in analysis)

Option 1: Eintracht Braunschweig (Local)

3.8026.32%Min
4.2623.49%Mean
4.4022.73%Median
4.6021.74%Max
20.12%4.970Min
22.18%4.509Max
20.46%4.888Mean
20.61%4.851Median
20.46%4.888IQM
20.48%4.882Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.60 under the IQM model: 20.46%

EV -5.89%Edge -1.28%Kelly -1.64%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Union Berlin (Visit)

1.5464.94%Min
1.6162.06%Mean
1.6062.50%Median
1.6959.17%Max
54.39%1.839Min
57.84%1.729Max
56.75%1.762Mean
56.22%1.779Median
56.75%1.762IQM
56.67%1.764Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.69 under the IQM model: 56.75%

EV -4.10%Edge -2.42%Kelly -5.94%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

3.6027.78%Min
3.9025.64%Mean
3.9525.32%Median
4.2023.81%Max
22.04%4.538Min
23.72%4.216Max
22.79%4.387Mean
23.17%4.316Median
22.79%4.387IQM
22.84%4.378Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.20 under the IQM model: 22.79%

EV -4.26%Edge -1.02%Kelly -1.33%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

BookmakerEintracht Braunschweig (Local) ▼Union Berlin (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
BetMGM4.60I 21.74% NM 20.64%EV -5.89% E -1.28% K -1.64% G +0.000%1.69I 59.17% NM 56.19%EV -4.10% E -2.42% K -5.94% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 23.16%EV -6.54% E -1.60% K -2.11% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 10:30
Tipico (DE)4.60I 21.74% NM 20.12%EV -5.89% E -1.28% K -1.64% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 57.84%EV -9.20% E -5.75% K -15.34% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 22.04%EV -4.26% E -1.02% K -1.33% G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-24 15:00
Codere (IT)4.50I 22.22% NM 20.61%EV -7.94% E -1.76% K -2.27% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 56.21%EV -6.37% E -3.86% K -9.79% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.19%EV -8.82% E -2.21% K -2.94% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 10:30
LeoVegas4.40I 22.73% NM 20.92%EV -9.99% E -2.27% K -2.94% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 55.78%EV -6.37% E -3.86% K -9.79% G +0.000%3.95I 25.32% NM 23.30%EV -9.96% E -2.52% K -3.38% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 10:30
Betclic (FR)4.10I 24.39% NM 20.68%EV -16.12% E -3.93% K -5.20% G +0.000%1.49I 67.11% NM 56.90%EV -15.45% E -10.37% K -31.52% G +0.000%3.78I 26.46% NM 22.43%EV -13.84% E -3.66% K -4.98% G +0.000%18.0%2026-06-24 17:49
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00% NM 21.81%EV -18.17% E -4.54% K -6.06% G +0.000%1.58I 63.29% NM 55.22%EV -10.34% E -6.54% K -17.83% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 22.96%EV -13.38% E -3.52% K -4.78% G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-05 10:30
Unibet (FR)3.90I 25.64% NM 21.89%EV -20.21% E -5.18% K -6.97% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 54.39%EV -10.91% E -6.95% K -19.13% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 23.72%EV -17.94% E -4.98% K -6.90% G +0.000%17.1%2026-07-05 10:30
Winamax (FR)3.80I 26.32% NM 22.18%EV -22.26% E -5.86% K -7.95% G +0.000%1.54I 64.94% NM 54.73%EV -12.61% E -8.19% K -23.35% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 23.09%EV -16.80% E -4.60% K -6.34% G +0.000%18.6%2026-07-05 10:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth