The School of Odds

Eintracht Braunschweig v Union Berlin

2026-08-23 13:30 UTC — DFB-Pokal

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Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Eintracht Braunschweig (Local)

Prediction 21.12%4.74fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -0.623%
Kelly -0.796%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.64%21.48%21.12%23.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.754.134.104.6027%24%24%22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Union Berlin (Visit)

Prediction 55.38%1.81fair odd
EV -3.09%
Edge -1.77%
Kelly -4.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.69%54.91%55.38%56.19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.531.621.611.7565%62%62%57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 23.51%4.25fair odd
EV -3.62%
Edge -0.882%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.90%23.61%23.51%24.26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.603.813.804.1028%26%26%24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetMGM4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -2.86%E -0.623%K -0.796%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.19%EV -6.42%E -3.80%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -3.62%E -0.882%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 10:30
Codere (IT)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.09%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -7.52%E -4.50%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -7.14%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 05:00
LeoVegas4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -9.20%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.67%EV -8.63%E -5.23%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -5.97%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 05:00
Betclic (FR)4.15I 24.10%NM 21.17%EV -12.37%E -2.98%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 55.27%EV -11.95%E -7.52%K -20.26%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.56%EV -12.31%E -3.30%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-25 04:59
NetBet (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 20.82%EV -13.42%E -3.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 55.79%EV -15.28%E -9.98%K -28.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.39%EV -14.20%E -3.89%K -5.36%G +0.000%17.1%2026-07-25 04:59
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -15.53%E -3.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -3.09%E -1.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -10.67%E -2.81%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-16 11:50
Winamax (DE)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.03%EV -16.59%E -4.20%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.07%EV -12.51%E -7.92%K -21.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.90%EV -10.67%E -2.81%K -3.81%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-25 05:00
Unibet (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.34%EV -17.65%E -4.52%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.11%EV -10.85%E -6.74%K -17.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.55%EV -13.02%E -3.52%K -4.82%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-25 05:00
Winamax (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.34%EV -20.81%E -5.55%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 54.39%EV -14.72%E -9.56%K -27.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.27%EV -15.37%E -4.27%K -5.91%G +0.000%19.4%2026-07-25 05:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.