The School of Odds

Eintracht Braunschweig v Union Berlin

2026-08-21 16:00 UTC — DFB-Pokal

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Eintracht Braunschweig (Local)

Prediction 20.38%4.91fair odd
EV -6.24%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.12%20.38%20.38%20.64%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.604.604.604.6022%22%22%22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Union Berlin (Visit)

Prediction 57.02%1.75fair odd
EV -3.64%
Edge -2.15%
Kelly -5.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.19%57.02%57.02%57.84%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.601.651.651.6963%61%61%59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 22.60%4.42fair odd
EV -5.08%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -1.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.04%22.60%22.60%23.16%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.104.154.154.2024%24%24%24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetMGM4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.19%EV -3.64%E -2.15%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -7.34%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 09:40
Tipico (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -8.77%E -5.48%K -14.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -5.08%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-07 13:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.