Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen

2026-10-27 19:45 UTC — DFB-Pokal

Testa a testa

26 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Borussia Dortmund (Casa)

Previsione 68.84%1.45quota equa
EV -5.01%
Vantaggio -3.63%
Kelly -13.17%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.03%68.76%68.91%69.70%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.251.341.351.3880.00%74.65%74.07%72.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Werder Bremen (Trasferta)

Previsione 13.20%7.58quota equa
EV -1.03%
Vantaggio -0.137%
Kelly -0.158%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.55%13.16%13.20%14.92%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.806.777.007.5017.24%14.76%14.29%13.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 17.97%5.57quota equa
EV -4.77%
Vantaggio -0.901%
Kelly -1.11%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.34%18.08%17.89%19.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.704.965.005.3021.28%20.18%20.00%18.87%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Borussia Dortmund (Casa): 68.84%; Werder Bremen (Trasferta): 13.20%; Pareggio: 17.97%. Per Werder Bremen (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 7.58. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 7.50, con un valore atteso del -1.03%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (26 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -5.01%E -3.63%K -13.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -10.16%E -2.03%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-19 11:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -5.01%E -3.63%K -13.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -10.16%E -2.03%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-19 11:21
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -5.01%E -3.63%K -13.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -10.16%E -2.03%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-19 11:20
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -5.01%E -3.63%K -13.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -10.16%E -2.03%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-19 11:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -5.01%E -3.63%K -13.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -10.16%E -2.03%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-19 15:00
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.13%EV -6.38%E -4.69%K -17.73%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -4.33%E -0.597%K -0.692%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -5.67%E -1.08%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-15 13:33
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -6.38%E -4.69%K -17.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -13.76%E -2.87%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -6.38%E -4.69%K -17.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -13.76%E -2.87%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -6.38%E -4.69%K -17.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -13.76%E -2.87%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.70%EV -7.07%E -5.24%K -20.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV -1.03%E -0.137%K -0.158%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.75%EV -4.77%E -0.901%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-22 04:35
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.07%E -5.24%K -20.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -5.67%E -1.08%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 06:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.58%EV -7.07%E -5.24%K -20.20%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.62%EV -10.26%E -1.51%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -6.57%E -1.26%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-18 18:59
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.51%EV -7.07%E -5.24%K -20.20%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -10.92%E -1.62%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.79%EV -6.57%E -1.26%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-23 10:44
Grosvenor🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.16%EV -7.07%E -5.24%K -20.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.95%EV -14.22%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -13.76%E -2.87%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-19 11:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.03%EV -7.07%E -5.24%K -20.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -14.22%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -14.66%E -3.09%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-19 11:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -7.76%E -5.79%K -22.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -10.16%E -2.03%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-21 01:08
picklebet_au🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.45%E -6.35%K -25.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -10.16%E -2.03%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-14 07:35
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.45%E -6.35%K -25.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -10.16%E -2.03%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-17 20:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.24%EV -9.14%E -6.92%K -28.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.87%EV -15.54%E -2.43%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.89%EV -15.55%E -3.31%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-19 11:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.24%EV -9.14%E -6.92%K -28.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.87%EV -15.54%E -2.43%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.89%EV -15.55%E -3.31%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-19 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.24%EV -9.14%E -6.92%K -28.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.87%EV -15.54%E -2.43%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.89%EV -15.55%E -3.31%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-19 11:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.47%EV -9.82%E -7.50%K -31.69%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.19%EV -8.95%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -5.67%E -1.08%K -1.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-19 19:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.72%EV -10.51%E -8.09%K -35.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -20.82%E -3.47%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.61%EV -10.16%E -2.03%K -2.54%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-12 14:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 67.06%EV -11.20%E -8.68%K -38.62%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 14.92%EV -23.46%E -4.05%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.02%EV -13.76%E -2.87%K -3.62%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-12 14:24
NetBet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 68.06%EV -11.89%E -9.29%K -42.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.40%EV -14.22%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.54%EV -15.55%E -3.31%K -4.20%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-21 12:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 68.82%EV -13.95%E -11.16%K -55.82%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.44%EV -15.54%E -2.43%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 17.74%EV -12.86%E -2.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%16.2%2026-10-21 19:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.