L’École des cotesBayern Munich v VfB Stuttgart
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Bayern Munich (Local)
Prévision 68.52%1.46cote équitable
EV -2.02%
Avantage -1.41%
Kelly -4.69%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.43
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.29%68.49%68.18%71.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.351.351.4376.92%73.86%74.07%69.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
VfB Stuttgart (Visiteur)
Prévision 15.03%6.65cote équitable
EV +12.71%
Avantage +1.69%
Kelly +1.96%
Croissance +0.249%
avec la cote maximale 7.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.85%14.97%15.34%16.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.756.476.507.5017.39%15.46%15.38%13.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 16.45%6.08cote équitable
EV +0.356%
Avantage +0.058%
Kelly +0.070%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 6.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.79%16.55%16.48%18.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.695.756.1020.00%17.59%17.39%16.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (25 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.36%EV -7.50%E -5.55%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.85%EV +12.71%E +1.69%K +1.96%G +0.249% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.79%EV +0.356%E +0.058%K +0.070%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-23 17:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.77%EV -4.07%E -2.91%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.95%EV +5.20%E +0.742%K +0.866%G +0.045% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.28%EV -1.29%E -0.215%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-23 17:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.07%EV -5.44%E -3.94%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.81%EV +5.20%E +0.742%K +0.866%G +0.045% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.12%EV -1.29%E -0.215%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-23 17:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.53%EV -7.50%E -5.55%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV +5.20%E +0.742%K +0.866%G +0.045% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -1.29%E -0.215%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-23 17:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.34%EV -7.50%E -5.55%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV +5.20%E +0.742%K +0.866%G +0.045% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.09%EV -2.93%E -0.497%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 17:39 |
| Unibet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.20%EV -8.18%E -6.11%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV +5.20%E +0.742%K +0.866%G +0.045% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -5.40%E -0.940%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 17:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.95%EV -8.18%E -6.11%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV +1.44%E +0.213%K +0.250%G +0.004% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -4.58%E -0.790%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-23 17:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.95%EV -8.18%E -6.11%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV +1.44%E +0.213%K +0.250%G +0.004% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -4.58%E -0.790%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-23 17:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.95%EV -8.18%E -6.11%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV +1.44%E +0.213%K +0.250%G +0.004% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -4.58%E -0.790%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-23 17:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.01%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.87%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV +1.44%E +0.213%K +0.250%G +0.004% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -5.40%E -0.940%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 16:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.33%EV -5.44%E -3.94%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.72%EV -2.32%E -0.357%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.95%EV -1.29%E -0.215%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-23 17:49 |
| Betway | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.86%EV -5.44%E -3.94%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.62%EV -2.32%E -0.357%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.53%EV -5.40%E -0.940%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 17:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.83%EV -10.92%E -8.40%K -36.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -2.32%E -0.357%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -7.87%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-23 17:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.83%EV -10.92%E -8.40%K -36.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -2.32%E -0.357%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -7.87%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-23 17:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.83%EV -10.92%E -8.40%K -36.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -2.32%E -0.357%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -7.87%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-23 17:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.83%EV -10.92%E -8.40%K -36.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -2.32%E -0.357%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -7.87%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-23 17:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.90%EV -6.13%E -4.47%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.10%EV -6.07%E -0.972%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.00%EV -2.93%E -0.497%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-23 17:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.71%EV -4.07%E -2.91%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.80%EV -9.83%E -1.64%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -5.40%E -0.940%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-23 17:27 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.73%EV -5.44%E -3.94%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -9.83%E -1.64%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -7.87%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-23 17:29 |
| betfred_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -6.81%E -5.01%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.83%E -1.64%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -9.52%E -1.73%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 07:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.21%EV -7.50%E -5.55%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -9.83%E -1.64%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -7.87%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-23 17:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.78%EV -2.02%E -1.41%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.61%EV -13.59%E -2.36%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.61%EV -5.40%E -0.940%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 14:49 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.29%EV -6.81%E -5.01%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.68%EV -13.59%E -2.36%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -17.74%E -3.55%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-23 17:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.29%EV -6.81%E -5.01%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.68%EV -13.59%E -2.36%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -17.74%E -3.55%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-23 17:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.29%EV -6.81%E -5.01%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.68%EV -13.59%E -2.36%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -17.74%E -3.55%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-23 17:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.