Language:English
Werder Bremen v VfL Wolfsburg
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Werder Bremen (Local)
Prediction 16.85%5.94fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -0.545%
Kelly -0.660%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.52%16.85%17.22%17.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.455.705.7520.83%18.34%17.54%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
VfL Wolfsburg (Visit)
Prediction 62.63%1.60fair odd
EV -7.30%
Edge -4.94%
Kelly -15.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.68%62.63%62.70%64.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.411.381.4873.53%71.16%72.46%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.52%4.87fair odd
EV -5.19%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.64%20.52%20.09%21.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.354.504.6225.64%22.97%22.22%21.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Werder Bremen (Local): 16.85%; VfL Wolfsburg (Visit): 62.63%; Draw: 20.52%. For Werder Bremen (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.94. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.75, with an expected value of -3.14%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.52%EV -3.14%E -0.545%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.66%EV -13.57%E -9.83%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.83%EV -7.65%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-22 15:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.52%EV -3.14%E -0.545%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.66%EV -13.57%E -9.83%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.83%EV -7.65%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.52%EV -3.14%E -0.545%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.66%EV -13.57%E -9.83%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.83%EV -7.65%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-22 15:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.52%EV -3.14%E -0.545%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.66%EV -13.57%E -9.83%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.83%EV -7.65%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-22 15:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.52%EV -3.14%E -0.545%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.66%EV -13.57%E -9.83%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.83%EV -7.65%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-22 15:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.52%EV -3.14%E -0.545%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.66%EV -13.57%E -9.83%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.83%EV -7.65%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-22 15:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.52%EV -3.14%E -0.545%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.66%EV -13.57%E -9.83%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.83%EV -7.65%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-22 15:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.52%EV -3.14%E -0.545%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.66%EV -13.57%E -9.83%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.83%EV -7.65%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.52%EV -3.14%E -0.545%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.66%EV -13.57%E -9.83%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.83%EV -7.65%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.52%EV -3.14%E -0.545%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.66%EV -13.57%E -9.83%K -35.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.83%EV -7.65%E -1.70%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-22 15:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.85%EV -3.98%E -0.698%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -12.32%E -8.80%K -30.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -5.60%E -1.22%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-22 10:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.64I 17.73%NM 16.10%EV -4.99%E -0.884%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.50%EV -10.44%E -7.30%K -24.27%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.40%EV -8.68%E -1.95%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-22 15:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.39I 18.55%NM 17.22%EV -9.20%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.70%EV -7.30%E -4.94%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.09%EV -5.19%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 15:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -11.56%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -9.81%E -6.81%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -11.14%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-22 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -11.56%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.23%EV -9.81%E -6.81%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -11.14%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-22 14:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -15.77%E -3.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.81%E -6.81%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.91%E -4.48%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-22 06:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -15.77%E -3.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.81%E -6.81%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.91%E -4.48%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-22 06:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -15.77%E -3.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.81%E -6.81%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.91%E -4.48%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-22 06:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -15.77%E -3.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.81%E -6.81%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.91%E -4.48%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-22 06:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -15.77%E -3.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -12.32%E -8.80%K -30.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -13.81%E -3.29%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-22 07:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.36%EV -19.14%E -3.99%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 61.27%EV -14.82%E -10.90%K -41.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.37%EV -19.96%E -5.12%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-04-22 08:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.