預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Werder Bremen v Carl Zeiss Jena

開賽時間: 2026-05-10 12:00 UTC

最終賽果: Werder Bremen 7–0 Carl Zeiss Jena

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

22 家博彩公司 (5 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Werder Bremen (主隊)

預測 72.70%1.38公平賠率
EV -6.94%
優勢 -5.42%
Kelly -24.78%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.28

博彩公司預測分布
69.54%72.77%72.69%76.22%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.171.211.211.2885.47%82.64%82.64%78.13%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Carl Zeiss Jena (客隊)

預測 11.20%8.93公平賠率
EV +12.00%
優勢 +1.20%
Kelly +1.33%
成長率 +0.160%

假設最高賠率為 10.00

博彩公司預測分布
8.92%11.07%11.31%12.92%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
7.009.019.1810.0014.29%11.10%10.90%10.00%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 16.10%6.21公平賠率
EV -0.199%
優勢 -0.032%
Kelly -0.038%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 6.20

博彩公司預測分布
14.54%16.16%16.01%18.54%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.505.655.906.2022.22%17.71%16.93%16.13%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Werder Bremen (主隊):72.70%;Carl Zeiss Jena (客隊):11.20%;和局:16.10%。 對於「Carl Zeiss Jena (客隊)」,該估計相當於8.93的公平十進位賠率。 當時有15家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為10.00,對應+12.00%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (22 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -14.94%E -12.77%K -87.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV +12.00%E +1.20%K +1.33%G +0.160%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.86%EV -3.42%E -0.570%K -0.684%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-07 12:20
LeoVegas🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -14.94%E -12.77%K -87.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV +12.00%E +1.20%K +1.33%G +0.160%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.86%EV -3.42%E -0.570%K -0.684%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-07 12:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -14.94%E -12.77%K -87.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV +12.00%E +1.20%K +1.33%G +0.160%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.86%EV -3.42%E -0.570%K -0.684%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-07 12:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -14.94%E -12.77%K -87.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV +12.00%E +1.20%K +1.33%G +0.160%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.86%EV -3.42%E -0.570%K -0.684%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-07 12:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -14.94%E -12.77%K -87.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV +12.00%E +1.20%K +1.33%G +0.160%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.86%EV -3.42%E -0.570%K -0.684%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-07 12:20
Grosvenor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -14.94%E -12.77%K -87.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV +12.00%E +1.20%K +1.33%G +0.160%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.86%EV -3.42%E -0.570%K -0.684%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-07 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -14.94%E -12.77%K -87.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV +12.00%E +1.20%K +1.33%G +0.160%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.86%EV -3.42%E -0.570%K -0.684%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-07 12:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -14.94%E -12.77%K -87.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV +12.00%E +1.20%K +1.33%G +0.160%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.86%EV -3.42%E -0.570%K -0.684%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-07 12:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -14.94%E -12.77%K -87.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV +12.00%E +1.20%K +1.33%G +0.160%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.86%EV -3.42%E -0.570%K -0.684%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-07 12:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -14.94%E -12.77%K -87.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV +12.00%E +1.20%K +1.33%G +0.160%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.86%EV -3.42%E -0.570%K -0.684%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-07 12:24
1xBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.38%EV -11.30%E -9.26%K -51.37%G +0.000%9.35I 10.70%NM 9.70%EV +4.72%E +0.504%K +0.565%G +0.027%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.92%EV -8.25%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-08 05:14
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -9.12%E -7.30%K -36.48%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV +0.796%E +0.088%K +0.100%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -19.52%E -3.90%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-08 06:15
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -9.12%E -7.30%K -36.48%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV +0.796%E +0.088%K +0.100%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -19.52%E -3.90%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-08 06:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -9.12%E -7.30%K -36.48%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV +0.796%E +0.088%K +0.100%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -19.52%E -3.90%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-08 06:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -9.12%E -7.30%K -36.48%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV +0.796%E +0.088%K +0.100%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -19.52%E -3.90%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-08 06:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -9.12%E -7.30%K -36.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -4.80%E -0.565%K -0.640%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -11.47%E -2.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 08:10
Pinnacle🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.98%EV -9.12%E -7.30%K -36.48%G +0.000%8.06I 12.41%NM 11.32%EV -9.73%E -1.21%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 15.70%EV -6.48%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 06:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.90%EV -11.30%E -9.26%K -51.37%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.56%EV -12.64%E -1.62%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.54%EV -0.199%E -0.032%K -0.038%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-08 08:15
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.23%EV -11.30%E -9.26%K -51.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -16.00%E -2.13%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.02%EV -11.47%E -2.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-08 03:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.64%EV -6.94%E -5.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -21.60%E -3.09%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -11.47%E -2.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-09 13:34
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.64%EV -6.94%E -5.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -21.60%E -3.09%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -11.47%E -2.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-09 13:34
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 69.54%EV -12.76%E -10.63%K -63.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 11.92%EV -21.60%E -3.09%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.54%EV -27.56%E -6.13%K -7.88%G +0.000%19.8%2026-05-09 13:34
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 74.08%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.51%6.3%2026-05-10 00:15