Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

VfL Wolfsburg v Hamburger SV

2026-10-04 11:45 UTC — Frauen-Bundesliga

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

81%

12%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

VfL Wolfsburg (Local)

Prediction 81.22%1.23fair odd

EV -9.85%

Edge -8.87%

Kelly -89.51%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

79.93%81.22%80.81%83.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.061.091.101.1194.34%91.32%90.50%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hamburger SV (Visit)

Prediction 6.99%14.31fair odd

EV +11.83%

Edge +0.739%

Kelly +0.788%

Growth +0.093%

assuming max odds 16.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

5.56%6.99%7.31%7.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

12.0013.7513.5016.008.33%7.27%7.41%6.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 11.79%8.48fair odd

EV +0.225%

Edge +0.027%

Kelly +0.030%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 8.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

10.47%11.79%11.88%12.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

7.007.888.008.5014.29%12.70%12.50%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: VfL Wolfsburg (Local): 81.22%; Hamburger SV (Visit): 6.99%; Draw: 11.79%. For Hamburger SV (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 14.31. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 16.00, producing a positive expected value of +11.83%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 83.97%EV -13.91%E -13.12%K -231.79%G +0.000%	16.00I 6.25%NM 5.56%EV +11.83%E +0.739%K +0.788%G +0.093%	8.50I 11.76%NM 10.47%EV +0.225%E +0.027%K +0.030%G +0.000%	12.4%	2026-10-01 07:19
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 81.97%EV -10.66%E -9.69%K -106.58%G +0.000%	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.01%EV +4.84%E +0.322%K +0.346%G +0.017%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -11.57%E -1.54%K -1.78%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-10-01 07:20
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 81.76%EV -9.85%E -8.87%K -89.51%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -16.13%E -1.34%K -1.47%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV +0.225%E +0.027%K +0.030%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-10-01 07:15
BoyleSports🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 79.93%EV -9.85%E -8.87%K -89.51%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.39%EV -16.13%E -1.34%K -1.47%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -17.46%E -2.49%K -2.91%G +0.000%	12.7%	2026-10-01 07:19

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.