默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

VfL Wolfsburg v Bayer Leverkusen

开赛时间: 2026-03-15 17:32 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

20 家博彩公司 (2 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

VfL Wolfsburg (主队)

预测 62.61%1.60公平赔率
EV -2.95%
优势 -1.90%
Kelly -5.36%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.55

博彩公司预测分布
59.61%62.61%62.61%64.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.351.421.401.5574.07%70.50%71.43%64.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

Bayer Leverkusen (客队)

预测 16.82%5.95公平赔率
EV +2.61%
优势 +0.427%
Kelly +0.511%
增长率 +0.013%

假设最高赔率为 6.10

博彩公司预测分布
14.62%16.82%16.82%18.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.605.465.636.1021.74%18.30%17.78%16.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 20.57%4.86公平赔率
EV -7.45%
优势 -1.66%
Kelly -2.13%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.50

博彩公司预测分布
20.21%20.57%20.57%22.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.754.234.304.5026.67%23.62%23.26%22.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:VfL Wolfsburg (主队):62.61%;Bayer Leverkusen (客队):16.82%;平局:20.57%。 对于“Bayer Leverkusen (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.95。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为6.10,对应+2.61%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (20 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.63%EV -13.59%E -9.85%K -35.78%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.62%EV +2.61%E +0.427%K +0.511%G +0.013%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV -11.56%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 17:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -12.34%E -8.82%K -30.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV +0.923%E +0.154%K +0.185%G +0.002%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -9.51%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-15 17:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -12.34%E -8.82%K -30.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV +0.923%E +0.154%K +0.185%G +0.002%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -9.51%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-15 17:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -12.34%E -8.82%K -30.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV +0.923%E +0.154%K +0.185%G +0.002%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -9.51%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-15 17:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -12.34%E -8.82%K -30.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV +0.923%E +0.154%K +0.185%G +0.002%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -9.51%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-15 17:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 64.47%EV -14.22%E -10.38%K -38.43%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.23%EV -2.44%E -0.421%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.30%EV -10.53%E -2.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-15 17:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 64.47%EV -14.22%E -10.38%K -38.43%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.23%EV -2.44%E -0.421%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.30%EV -10.53%E -2.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-15 17:30
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.64%EV -14.85%E -10.92%K -41.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.16%EV -2.44%E -0.421%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.21%EV -10.53%E -2.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-15 17:30
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.48%EV -14.85%E -10.92%K -41.24%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.12%EV -2.44%E -0.421%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -11.56%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-15 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 64.57%EV -15.47%E -11.46%K -44.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.16%EV -3.28%E -0.571%K -0.691%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.27%EV -11.56%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-15 17:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -9.21%E -6.35%K -20.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -7.49%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -7.45%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 17:30
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.17%EV -6.08%E -4.05%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.48I 18.25%NM 17.02%EV -7.82%E -1.43%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 20.82%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 17:29
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.33%EV -2.95%E -1.90%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 17.88%EV -12.03%E -2.30%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 21.80%EV -11.77%E -2.74%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 17:29
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.84%E -6.83%K -22.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -15.90%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.73%E -4.43%K -5.91%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-15 17:30
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.34%EV -9.84%E -6.83%K -22.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.38%EV -15.90%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.28%EV -19.79%E -5.07%K -6.82%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-15 17:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.34%EV -9.84%E -6.83%K -22.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.38%EV -15.90%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.28%EV -19.79%E -5.07%K -6.82%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-15 17:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.34%EV -9.84%E -6.83%K -22.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.38%EV -15.90%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.28%EV -19.79%E -5.07%K -6.82%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-15 17:30
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22%EV -7.33%E -4.95%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -19.26%E -4.01%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -13.62%E -3.24%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.39%EV -9.84%E -6.83%K -22.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.90%EV -22.63%E -4.92%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -13.62%E -3.24%K -4.26%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-15 17:30
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 59.61%EV -12.34%E -8.82%K -30.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.14%EV -22.63%E -4.92%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.25%EV -22.87%E -6.10%K -8.32%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-15 17:29
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。