Language:English
VfB Stuttgart v Hamburger SV
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
VfB Stuttgart (Local)
assuming max odds 1.62
Hamburger SV (Visit)
assuming max odds 5.00
Draw
assuming max odds 4.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: VfB Stuttgart (Local): 58.63%; Hamburger SV (Visit): 19.29%; Draw: 22.08%. For Hamburger SV (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.18. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.00, with an expected value of -3.57%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -5.01%E -3.10%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.17%EV -11.48%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 22.69%EV -9.91%E -2.43%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.12%EV -12.05%E -8.03%K -24.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -5.50%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -7.26%E -1.73%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 11:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.62%EV -15.57%E -10.81%K -35.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.64%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.62%EV -15.57%E -10.81%K -35.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.64%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.62%EV -15.57%E -10.81%K -35.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.64%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.78%EV -16.16%E -11.30%K -37.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.67%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.55%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.78%EV -16.16%E -11.30%K -37.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.67%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.55%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.78%EV -16.16%E -11.30%K -37.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.67%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.55%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.78%EV -16.16%E -11.30%K -37.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.67%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.55%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.78%EV -16.16%E -11.30%K -37.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.67%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.55%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.78%EV -16.16%E -11.30%K -37.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.67%EV -3.57%E -0.714%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.55%EV -5.05%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-29 11:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.