L’École des cotesLangue:Français
TSG Hoffenheim v SGS Essen
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
TSG Hoffenheim (Local)
Prévision 62.30%1.61cote équitable
EV -5.93%
Avantage -3.93%
Kelly -11.63%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.51
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.75%62.47%62.30%70.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.261.351.301.5179.37%74.23%76.92%66.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
SGS Essen (Visiteur)
Prévision 17.29%5.79cote équitable
EV +38.28%
Avantage +4.79%
Kelly +5.47%
Croissance +2.09%
avec la cote maximale 8.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.30%17.26%17.29%18.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.606.375.978.0021.74%15.71%16.75%12.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 20.42%4.90cote équitable
EV +2.09%
Avantage +0.419%
Kelly +0.523%
Croissance +0.011%
avec la cote maximale 5.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.04%20.26%20.42%21.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.564.705.0025.00%21.92%21.28%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (21 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -20.26%E -15.83%K -72.36%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV +38.28%E +4.79%K +5.47%G +2.09% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV +2.09%E +0.419%K +0.523%G +0.011% | 10.6% | 2026-03-15 11:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -20.26%E -15.83%K -72.36%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV +38.28%E +4.79%K +5.47%G +2.09% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV +2.09%E +0.419%K +0.523%G +0.011% | 10.6% | 2026-03-15 11:00 |
| Unibet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.74%EV -20.88%E -16.44%K -77.35%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.81%EV +29.64%E +3.95%K +4.56%G +1.35% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.45%EV -1.99%E -0.415%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-15 11:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.74%EV -20.88%E -16.44%K -77.35%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.81%EV +29.64%E +3.95%K +4.56%G +1.35% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.45%EV -1.99%E -0.415%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-15 11:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.74%EV -20.88%E -16.44%K -77.35%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.81%EV +29.64%E +3.95%K +4.56%G +1.35% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.45%EV -1.99%E -0.415%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-15 11:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.74%EV -20.88%E -16.44%K -77.35%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.81%EV +29.64%E +3.95%K +4.56%G +1.35% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.45%EV -1.99%E -0.415%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-15 11:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.74%EV -20.88%E -16.44%K -77.35%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.81%EV +29.64%E +3.95%K +4.56%G +1.35% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.45%EV -1.99%E -0.415%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-15 11:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.74%EV -20.88%E -16.44%K -77.35%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.81%EV +29.64%E +3.95%K +4.56%G +1.35% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.45%EV -1.99%E -0.415%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-15 11:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 70.17%EV -21.51%E -17.07%K -82.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.79%EV +29.64%E +3.95%K +4.56%G +1.35% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.04%EV +0.052%E +0.011%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-15 11:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 70.17%EV -21.51%E -17.07%K -82.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.79%EV +29.64%E +3.95%K +4.56%G +1.35% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.04%EV +0.052%E +0.011%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-15 11:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.37%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.97I 16.75%NM 15.67%EV +3.19%E +0.535%K +0.642%G +0.021% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 21.96%EV -13.02%E -3.06%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-15 10:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.42%EV -12.79%E -9.13%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -4.93%E -0.897%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -4.03%E -0.858%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-15 10:59 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -12.79%E -9.13%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -4.93%E -0.897%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -14.24%E -3.39%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-15 10:59 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -12.79%E -9.13%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -4.93%E -0.897%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -14.24%E -3.39%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-15 10:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 64.05%EV -19.02%E -14.63%K -63.38%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.14%EV -4.93%E -0.897%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.82%EV -18.33%E -4.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-03-15 10:59 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -10.29%E -7.15%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -9.25%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -8.12%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-15 11:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.74%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.21%EV -11.50%E -2.25%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.05%EV -5.05%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 10:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.35%EV -12.79%E -9.13%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.18%EV -13.57%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.47%EV -18.33%E -4.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-15 11:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.35%EV -12.79%E -9.13%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.18%EV -13.57%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.47%EV -18.33%E -4.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-15 11:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.75%EV -10.29%E -7.15%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.42%EV -17.90%E -3.77%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -14.24%E -3.39%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-15 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.90%EV -12.79%E -9.13%K -31.96%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.84%EV -20.49%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.26%EV -8.12%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-15 11:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (1)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.83% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.98% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.19% | 9.8% | 2026-03-15 11:00 |