语言:简体中文
TSG Hoffenheim v Bayer Leverkusen
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
TSG Hoffenheim (主队)
预测 25.34%3.95公平赔率
EV -1.18%
优势 -0.303%
Kelly -0.408%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.90
博彩公司预测分布
23.16%25.34%25.74%26.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.483.503.9030.77%28.75%28.57%25.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
Bayer Leverkusen (客队)
预测 49.82%2.01公平赔率
EV -8.82%
优势 -4.82%
Kelly -10.63%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.83
博彩公司预测分布
48.14%49.82%49.50%51.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.701.781.781.8358.82%56.06%56.18%54.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 24.84%4.03公平赔率
EV -3.38%
优势 -0.869%
Kelly -1.17%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.89
博彩公司预测分布
23.54%24.84%24.76%26.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.543.603.8930.77%28.23%27.78%25.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：TSG Hoffenheim (主队)：25.34%；Bayer Leverkusen (客队)：49.82%；平局：24.84%。 对于“TSG Hoffenheim (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.95。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.90，期望值为-1.18%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (19 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.16%EV -1.18%E -0.303%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.03%EV -11.81%E -6.67%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -13.07%E -3.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-04 07:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.82%E -4.82%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -15.55%E -4.57%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.82%E -4.82%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -15.55%E -4.57%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.35%EV -9.29%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -8.82%E -4.82%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.07%EV -10.09%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.31%EV -9.32%E -5.12%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 23.54%EV -3.38%E -0.869%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 04:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.92%EV -11.31%E -6.36%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.68%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.92%EV -11.31%E -6.36%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.68%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.92%EV -11.31%E -6.36%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.68%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.92%EV -11.31%E -6.36%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.68%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.92%EV -11.31%E -6.36%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.68%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.92%EV -11.31%E -6.36%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.68%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.92%EV -11.31%E -6.36%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.68%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.92%EV -11.31%E -6.36%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.68%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.92%EV -11.31%E -6.36%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.68%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -16.39%E -4.97%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -8.82%E -4.82%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -13.07%E -3.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -16.39%E -4.97%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -8.82%E -4.82%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -13.07%E -3.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.15%EV -16.39%E -4.97%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.88%EV -13.80%E -7.98%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-09-04 04:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.56%EV -17.65%E -5.43%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 48.87%EV -15.30%E -9.00%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.56%EV -19.28%E -5.93%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.56%EV -17.65%E -5.43%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 48.87%EV -15.30%E -9.00%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.56%EV -19.28%E -5.93%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-09-04 14:34 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。