預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

SGS Essen v Bayer Leverkusen

開賽時間: 2026-05-03 12:02 UTC

最終賽果: SGS Essen 0–4 Bayer Leverkusen

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

21 家博彩公司 (4 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

SGS Essen (主隊)

預測 12.14%8.23公平賠率
EV -0.420%
優勢 -0.051%
Kelly -0.058%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 8.20

博彩公司預測分布
11.01%12.24%12.14%15.55%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
5.756.346.008.2017.39%15.76%16.67%12.20%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Bayer Leverkusen (客隊)

預測 68.64%1.46公平賠率
EV +0.213%
優勢 +0.146%
Kelly +0.464%
成長率 +0.001%

假設最高賠率為 1.46

博彩公司預測分布
61.23%68.27%68.64%70.56%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.251.391.371.4680.00%71.84%72.99%68.49%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 19.22%5.20公平賠率
EV -5.07%
優勢 -1.03%
Kelly -1.29%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 4.94

博彩公司預測分布
18.43%19.50%19.22%23.22%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.854.164.104.9425.97%24.02%24.39%20.24%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:SGS Essen (主隊):12.14%;Bayer Leverkusen (客隊):68.64%;和局:19.22%。 對於「Bayer Leverkusen (客隊)」,該估計相當於1.457的公平十進位賠率。 當時有3家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為1.460,對應+0.213%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (21 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
Unibet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -30.17%E -5.25%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 61.23%EV +0.213%E +0.146%K +0.464%G +0.001%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.22%EV -26.02%E -6.76%K -9.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 12:00
LiveScore Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -30.17%E -5.25%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 61.23%EV +0.213%E +0.146%K +0.464%G +0.001%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.22%EV -26.02%E -6.76%K -9.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 12:00
Virgin Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -30.17%E -5.25%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 61.23%EV +0.213%E +0.146%K +0.464%G +0.001%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.22%EV -26.02%E -6.76%K -9.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 12:00
LeoVegas🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.48%EV -30.17%E -5.25%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.39%EV -0.473%E -0.326%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.12%EV -26.02%E -6.76%K -9.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-03 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.48%EV -30.17%E -5.25%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.39%EV -0.473%E -0.326%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.12%EV -26.02%E -6.76%K -9.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-03 12:00
Unibet (NL)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.48%EV -30.17%E -5.25%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.39%EV -0.473%E -0.326%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.12%EV -26.02%E -6.76%K -9.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-03 12:00
Grosvenor🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.48%EV -30.17%E -5.25%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.39%EV -0.473%E -0.326%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.12%EV -26.02%E -6.76%K -9.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-03 12:01
Unibet (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.48%EV -30.17%E -5.25%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.39%EV -0.473%E -0.326%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.12%EV -26.02%E -6.76%K -9.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-03 12:00
Svenska Spel🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.48%EV -30.17%E -5.25%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.39%EV -0.473%E -0.326%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.12%EV -26.02%E -6.76%K -9.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-03 12:00
ATG (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.48%EV -30.17%E -5.25%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.39%EV -0.473%E -0.326%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.12%EV -26.02%E -6.76%K -9.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-03 12:00
1xBet🎯7.57I 13.21%NM 12.38%EV -8.07%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.39%EV -5.96%E -4.35%K -16.12%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.24%EV -6.41%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 11:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -21.06%E -3.24%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -6.65%E -4.89%K -18.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -15.45%E -3.51%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-03 12:00
888sport🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -21.06%E -3.24%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -6.65%E -4.89%K -18.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -19.29%E -4.59%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-03 11:59
William Hill🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -21.06%E -3.24%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -6.65%E -4.89%K -18.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -19.29%E -4.59%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-03 12:00
888sport (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -21.06%E -3.24%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -6.65%E -4.89%K -18.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -19.29%E -4.59%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-03 11:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -21.06%E -3.24%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -6.65%E -4.89%K -18.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -19.29%E -4.59%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-03 11:59
Coral🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -27.14%E -4.52%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.11%EV -6.65%E -4.89%K -18.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -15.45%E -3.51%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-03 12:00
Pinnacle🎯7.96I 12.56%NM 11.69%EV -3.33%E -0.419%K -0.479%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.46%EV -8.02%E -5.99%K -23.60%G +0.000%4.94I 20.24%NM 18.84%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 11:59
BoyleSports🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -14.99%E -2.14%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 67.81%EV -10.77%E -8.28%K -35.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -13.52%E -3.01%K -3.86%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-03 12:00
Tipico (DE)🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.01%EV -0.420%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.56%EV -12.14%E -9.49%K -43.36%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.43%EV -5.84%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 12:00
Bet Victor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 12.84%EV -21.06%E -3.24%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 66.79%EV -14.20%E -11.36%K -56.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.36%EV -21.21%E -5.17%K -6.84%G +0.000%19.8%2026-05-03 11:59
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。