语言:简体中文
SGS Essen v Bayer Leverkusen
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
SGS Essen (主队)
预测 12.14%8.23公平赔率
EV -0.420%
优势 -0.051%
Kelly -0.058%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 8.20
博彩公司预测分布
11.01%12.24%12.14%15.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.756.346.008.2017.39%15.76%16.67%12.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
Bayer Leverkusen (客队)
预测 68.64%1.46公平赔率
EV +0.213%
优势 +0.146%
Kelly +0.464%
增长率 +0.001%
假设最高赔率为 1.46
博彩公司预测分布
61.23%68.27%68.64%70.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.251.391.371.4680.00%71.84%72.99%68.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 19.22%5.20公平赔率
EV -5.07%
优势 -1.03%
Kelly -1.29%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.94
博彩公司预测分布
18.43%19.50%19.22%23.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.854.164.104.9425.97%24.02%24.39%20.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：SGS Essen (主队)：12.14%；Bayer Leverkusen (客队)：68.64%；平局：19.22%。 对于“Bayer Leverkusen (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.457。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.460，对应+0.213%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (21 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -30.17%E -5.25%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.23%EV +0.213%E +0.146%K +0.464%G +0.001% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.22%EV -26.02%E -6.76%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-03 12:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -30.17%E -5.25%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.23%EV +0.213%E +0.146%K +0.464%G +0.001% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.22%EV -26.02%E -6.76%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-03 12:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -30.17%E -5.25%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.23%EV +0.213%E +0.146%K +0.464%G +0.001% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.22%EV -26.02%E -6.76%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-03 12:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.48%EV -30.17%E -5.25%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.39%EV -0.473%E -0.326%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.12%EV -26.02%E -6.76%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-03 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.48%EV -30.17%E -5.25%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.39%EV -0.473%E -0.326%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.12%EV -26.02%E -6.76%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-03 12:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.48%EV -30.17%E -5.25%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.39%EV -0.473%E -0.326%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.12%EV -26.02%E -6.76%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-03 12:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.48%EV -30.17%E -5.25%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.39%EV -0.473%E -0.326%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.12%EV -26.02%E -6.76%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-03 12:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.48%EV -30.17%E -5.25%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.39%EV -0.473%E -0.326%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.12%EV -26.02%E -6.76%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-03 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.48%EV -30.17%E -5.25%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.39%EV -0.473%E -0.326%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.12%EV -26.02%E -6.76%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-03 12:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.48%EV -30.17%E -5.25%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.39%EV -0.473%E -0.326%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.12%EV -26.02%E -6.76%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-03 12:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 7.57I 13.21%NM 12.38%EV -8.07%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.39%EV -5.96%E -4.35%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.24%EV -6.41%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -21.06%E -3.24%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -6.65%E -4.89%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -15.45%E -3.51%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-03 12:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -21.06%E -3.24%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -6.65%E -4.89%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -19.29%E -4.59%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-03 11:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -21.06%E -3.24%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -6.65%E -4.89%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -19.29%E -4.59%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-03 12:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -21.06%E -3.24%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -6.65%E -4.89%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -19.29%E -4.59%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-03 11:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -21.06%E -3.24%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -6.65%E -4.89%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -19.29%E -4.59%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-03 11:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -27.14%E -4.52%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.11%EV -6.65%E -4.89%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -15.45%E -3.51%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-03 12:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.96I 12.56%NM 11.69%EV -3.33%E -0.419%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.46%EV -8.02%E -5.99%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 4.94I 20.24%NM 18.84%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 11:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -14.99%E -2.14%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.81%EV -10.77%E -8.28%K -35.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -13.52%E -3.01%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-03 12:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.01%EV -0.420%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.56%EV -12.14%E -9.49%K -43.36%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.43%EV -5.84%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-03 12:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 12.84%EV -21.06%E -3.24%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 66.79%EV -14.20%E -11.36%K -56.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.36%EV -21.21%E -5.17%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-05-03 11:59 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。