Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hamburger SV v Union Berlin

2026-10-25 16:00 UTC — Frauen-Bundesliga

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hamburger SV (Local)

Prediction 22.12%4.52fair odd
EV -7.09%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -2.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.80%22.20%22.12%26.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.683.354.2029.85%27.17%29.85%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Union Berlin (Visit)

Prediction 53.29%1.88fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.760%
Kelly -1.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.06%53.25%53.29%54.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.771.851.8560.61%56.48%54.05%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.58%4.07fair odd
EV -4.12%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.50%24.54%24.58%25.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.563.503.9028.57%28.05%28.57%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Hamburger SV (Local): 22.12%; Union Berlin (Visit): 53.29%; Draw: 24.58%. For Union Berlin (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.85, with an expected value of -1.41%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -7.09%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -9.40%E -5.53%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -4.12%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-22 16:05
1xBet🎯4.14I 24.15%NM 21.80%EV -8.42%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.70%EV -12.06%E -7.31%K -18.56%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 23.50%EV -5.60%E -1.46%K -1.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-22 16:14
Tipico (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.82%EV -9.30%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.62%EV -9.40%E -5.53%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.95%E -3.99%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-22 19:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -11.00%E -6.59%K -16.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -13.95%E -3.99%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-22 14:45
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -11.00%E -6.59%K -16.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -13.95%E -3.99%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-22 14:50
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -11.00%E -6.59%K -16.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -13.95%E -3.99%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-22 14:50
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.78%EV -11.00%E -6.59%K -16.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -13.95%E -3.99%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-22 14:50
Pinnacle🎯3.99I 25.06%NM 22.97%EV -11.74%E -2.94%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.29%EV -8.33%E -4.85%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 23.74%EV -5.10%E -1.32%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-22 14:45
LiveScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -25.89%E -7.73%K -11.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.06%EV -1.41%E -0.760%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -13.95%E -3.99%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-22 16:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -25.89%E -7.73%K -11.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.06%EV -1.41%E -0.760%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -13.95%E -3.99%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-22 16:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -25.89%E -7.73%K -11.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.06%EV -1.41%E -0.760%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -13.95%E -3.99%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-22 16:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -25.89%E -7.73%K -11.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.06%EV -1.41%E -0.760%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -13.95%E -3.99%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-22 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -25.89%E -7.73%K -11.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.06%EV -1.41%E -0.760%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -13.95%E -3.99%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-22 16:10
Grosvenor🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -25.89%E -7.73%K -11.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.06%EV -1.41%E -0.760%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -13.95%E -3.99%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-22 16:10
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -25.89%E -7.73%K -11.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.06%EV -1.41%E -0.760%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -13.95%E -3.99%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-22 16:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -25.89%E -7.73%K -11.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.06%EV -1.41%E -0.760%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -13.95%E -3.99%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-22 16:09
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -25.89%E -7.73%K -11.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.06%EV -1.41%E -0.760%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -13.95%E -3.99%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-22 16:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.