Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hamburger SV v Bayer Leverkusen

Kickoff: 2026-03-30 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Hamburger SV (Local)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -21.74%
Kelly -27.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.37%0.00%0.00%19.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.604.604.604.6021.74%21.74%21.74%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bayer Leverkusen (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -66.67%
Kelly -200.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.41%0.00%0.00%59.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.501.501.5066.67%66.67%66.67%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -23.81%
Kelly -31.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.22%0.00%0.00%21.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.204.204.2023.81%23.81%23.81%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hamburger SV (Local): 0.00%; Bayer Leverkusen (Visit): 0.00%; Draw: 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%12.2%2026-03-27 16:05
LiveScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%12.2%2026-03-27 16:05
Virgin Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%12.2%2026-03-27 16:05
LeoVegas🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%12.2%2026-03-27 16:04
Unibet (NL)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%12.2%2026-03-27 16:04
Unibet (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%12.2%2026-03-27 16:04
Grosvenor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%12.2%2026-03-27 16:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%12.2%2026-03-27 16:05
ATG (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%12.2%2026-03-27 16:05
Svenska Spel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%12.2%2026-03-27 16:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.