預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Bayern Munich v TSG Hoffenheim

開賽時間: 2026-05-06 16:02 UTC

最終賽果: Bayern Munich 1–1 TSG Hoffenheim

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

21 家博彩公司 (4 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Bayern Munich (主隊)

預測 75.85%1.32公平賠率
EV -5.19%
優勢 -4.15%
Kelly -20.76%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.25

博彩公司預測分布
72.29%76.05%75.85%79.50%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.151.191.201.2586.96%83.70%83.33%80.00%最小值平均值中位數最大值

TSG Hoffenheim (客隊)

預測 10.45%9.57公平賠率
EV +14.95%
優勢 +1.36%
Kelly +1.50%
成長率 +0.224%

假設最高賠率為 11.00

博彩公司預測分布
8.31%10.07%10.45%11.91%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
7.508.829.0011.0013.33%11.33%11.11%9.09%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 13.70%7.30公平賠率
EV +2.77%
優勢 +0.369%
Kelly +0.426%
成長率 +0.012%

假設最高賠率為 7.50

博彩公司預測分布
12.19%13.88%13.70%16.63%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
5.005.955.807.5020.00%16.81%17.24%13.33%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Bayern Munich (主隊):75.85%;TSG Hoffenheim (客隊):10.45%;和局:13.70%。 對於「TSG Hoffenheim (客隊)」,該估計相當於9.57的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為11.00,對應+14.95%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (21 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
Tipico (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.50%EV -12.78%E -11.11%K -85.17%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.31%EV +14.95%E +1.36%K +1.50%G +0.224%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV +2.77%E +0.369%K +0.426%G +0.012%9.4%2026-05-06 16:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -8.98%E -7.49%K -44.92%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -0.722%E -0.076%K -0.085%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -17.79%E -2.96%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-06 16:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -8.98%E -7.49%K -44.92%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -0.722%E -0.076%K -0.085%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -17.79%E -2.96%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-06 16:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -8.98%E -7.49%K -44.92%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -0.722%E -0.076%K -0.085%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -17.79%E -2.96%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-06 16:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -8.98%E -7.49%K -44.92%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -0.722%E -0.076%K -0.085%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -17.79%E -2.96%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-06 16:00
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.01%EV -8.98%E -7.49%K -44.92%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -0.722%E -0.076%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.52%EV -20.53%E -3.54%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-06 16:00
Pinnacle🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.35%EV -8.22%E -6.80%K -39.17%G +0.000%9.31I 10.74%NM 9.92%EV -2.71%E -0.291%K -0.326%G +0.000%6.73I 14.86%NM 13.73%EV -7.78%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 15:59
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.72%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%9.01I 11.10%NM 10.37%EV -5.84%E -0.648%K -0.729%G +0.000%6.26I 15.97%NM 14.92%EV -14.22%E -2.27%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 15:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 74.77%EV -9.74%E -8.19%K -51.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.89%EV -5.95%E -0.661%K -0.743%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.34%EV -20.53%E -3.54%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-06 16:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 74.77%EV -9.74%E -8.19%K -51.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.89%EV -5.95%E -0.661%K -0.743%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.34%EV -20.53%E -3.54%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-06 16:00
Grosvenor🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 74.77%EV -9.74%E -8.19%K -51.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.89%EV -5.95%E -0.661%K -0.743%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.34%EV -20.53%E -3.54%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-06 16:00
Unibet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 74.67%EV -9.74%E -8.19%K -51.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -5.95%E -0.661%K -0.743%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.45%EV -21.21%E -3.69%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-06 16:00
LeoVegas🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 74.83%EV -10.50%E -8.90%K -58.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.81%EV -5.95%E -0.661%K -0.743%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.36%EV -21.21%E -3.69%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-06 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 74.99%EV -11.26%E -9.62%K -66.23%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.75%EV -5.95%E -0.661%K -0.743%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.26%EV -21.21%E -3.69%K -4.47%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-06 16:00
BoyleSports🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.24%EV -10.50%E -8.90%K -58.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -16.40%E -2.05%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.66%EV -10.93%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-06 16:00
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.09%EV -8.98%E -7.49%K -44.92%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -16.40%E -2.05%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -24.64%E -4.48%K -5.47%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-06 16:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.09%EV -8.98%E -7.49%K -44.92%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -16.40%E -2.05%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -24.64%E -4.48%K -5.47%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-06 16:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.09%EV -8.98%E -7.49%K -44.92%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -16.40%E -2.05%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -24.64%E -4.48%K -5.47%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-06 16:00
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -7.47%E -6.12%K -33.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -21.62%E -2.88%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -17.79%E -2.96%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-06 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -7.47%E -6.12%K -33.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -21.62%E -2.88%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -17.79%E -2.96%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-06 16:00
Bet Victor🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 72.29%EV -12.78%E -11.11%K -85.17%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.08%EV -21.62%E -2.88%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.63%EV -31.49%E -6.30%K -7.87%G +0.000%20.3%2026-05-06 15:58
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 74.43%8.20I 12.20%NM 10.80%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%12.9%2026-05-06 16:00