语言:简体中文
Bayern Munich v TSG Hoffenheim
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Bayern Munich (主队)
预测 75.85%1.32公平赔率
EV -5.19%
优势 -4.15%
Kelly -20.76%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.25
博彩公司预测分布
72.29%76.05%75.85%79.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.151.191.201.2586.96%83.70%83.33%80.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
TSG Hoffenheim (客队)
预测 10.45%9.57公平赔率
EV +14.95%
优势 +1.36%
Kelly +1.50%
增长率 +0.224%
假设最高赔率为 11.00
博彩公司预测分布
8.31%10.07%10.45%11.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.508.829.0011.0013.33%11.33%11.11%9.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 13.70%7.30公平赔率
EV +2.77%
优势 +0.369%
Kelly +0.426%
增长率 +0.012%
假设最高赔率为 7.50
博彩公司预测分布
12.19%13.88%13.70%16.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.005.955.807.5020.00%16.81%17.24%13.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Bayern Munich (主队)：75.85%；TSG Hoffenheim (客队)：10.45%；平局：13.70%。 对于“TSG Hoffenheim (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为9.57。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为11.00，对应+14.95%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (21 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.50%EV -12.78%E -11.11%K -85.17%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.31%EV +14.95%E +1.36%K +1.50%G +0.224% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV +2.77%E +0.369%K +0.426%G +0.012% | 9.4% | 2026-05-06 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -8.98%E -7.49%K -44.92%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -0.722%E -0.076%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -17.79%E -2.96%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-06 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -8.98%E -7.49%K -44.92%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -0.722%E -0.076%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -17.79%E -2.96%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-06 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -8.98%E -7.49%K -44.92%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -0.722%E -0.076%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -17.79%E -2.96%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-06 16:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -8.98%E -7.49%K -44.92%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -0.722%E -0.076%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -17.79%E -2.96%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-06 16:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.01%EV -8.98%E -7.49%K -44.92%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV -0.722%E -0.076%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.52%EV -20.53%E -3.54%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-06 16:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.35%EV -8.22%E -6.80%K -39.17%G +0.000% | 9.31I 10.74%NM 9.92%EV -2.71%E -0.291%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 6.73I 14.86%NM 13.73%EV -7.78%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 15:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.72%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 9.01I 11.10%NM 10.37%EV -5.84%E -0.648%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 6.26I 15.97%NM 14.92%EV -14.22%E -2.27%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 15:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 74.77%EV -9.74%E -8.19%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.89%EV -5.95%E -0.661%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.34%EV -20.53%E -3.54%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-06 16:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 74.77%EV -9.74%E -8.19%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.89%EV -5.95%E -0.661%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.34%EV -20.53%E -3.54%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-06 16:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 74.77%EV -9.74%E -8.19%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.89%EV -5.95%E -0.661%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.34%EV -20.53%E -3.54%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-06 16:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 74.67%EV -9.74%E -8.19%K -51.27%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -5.95%E -0.661%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.45%EV -21.21%E -3.69%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-06 16:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 74.83%EV -10.50%E -8.90%K -58.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.81%EV -5.95%E -0.661%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.36%EV -21.21%E -3.69%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-06 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 74.99%EV -11.26%E -9.62%K -66.23%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.75%EV -5.95%E -0.661%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.26%EV -21.21%E -3.69%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-06 16:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.24%EV -10.50%E -8.90%K -58.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -16.40%E -2.05%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.66%EV -10.93%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-06 16:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.09%EV -8.98%E -7.49%K -44.92%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -16.40%E -2.05%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -24.64%E -4.48%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-06 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.09%EV -8.98%E -7.49%K -44.92%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -16.40%E -2.05%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -24.64%E -4.48%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-06 16:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.09%EV -8.98%E -7.49%K -44.92%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -16.40%E -2.05%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -24.64%E -4.48%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-06 16:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -7.47%E -6.12%K -33.94%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -21.62%E -2.88%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -17.79%E -2.96%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-06 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -7.47%E -6.12%K -33.94%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -21.62%E -2.88%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -17.79%E -2.96%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-06 16:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 72.29%EV -12.78%E -11.11%K -85.17%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.08%EV -21.62%E -2.88%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 16.63%EV -31.49%E -6.30%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-05-06 15:58 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 74.43% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 10.80% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76% | 12.9% | 2026-05-06 16:00 |