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Bayern Munich v Eintracht Frankfurt
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bayern Munich (Local)
Prediction 62.89%1.59fair odd
EV -6.29%
Edge -4.22%
Kelly -12.83%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.68%62.70%62.89%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.441.441.4973.53%69.49%69.44%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Eintracht Frankfurt (Visit)
Prediction 17.50%5.71fair odd
EV -4.11%
Edge -0.750%
Kelly -0.917%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.04%17.45%17.50%19.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.075.105.4822.22%19.73%19.61%18.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.61%5.10fair odd
EV -3.92%
Edge -0.800%
Kelly -1.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.43%19.86%19.61%21.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.274.204.9025.64%23.42%23.81%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bayern Munich (Local): 62.89%; Eintracht Frankfurt (Visit): 17.50%; Draw: 19.61%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.10. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.90, with an expected value of -3.92%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.94%EV -6.29%E -4.22%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 5.48I 18.25%NM 17.11%EV -4.11%E -0.750%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95%EV -7.84%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 13:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.35%EV -6.29%E -4.22%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 5.22I 19.16%NM 17.80%EV -8.66%E -1.66%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.68I 21.37%NM 19.85%EV -8.23%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 13:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.23%EV -8.80%E -6.07%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -8.13%E -1.55%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.86%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 13:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.37%EV -8.80%E -6.07%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.45%EV -10.76%E -2.11%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -17.64%E -4.20%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-09 13:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.37%EV -8.80%E -6.07%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.45%EV -10.76%E -2.11%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -17.64%E -4.20%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-09 13:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.37%EV -8.80%E -6.07%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.45%EV -10.76%E -2.11%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -17.64%E -4.20%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-09 13:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -9.43%E -6.55%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -12.51%E -2.50%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -15.10%E -3.49%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-09 13:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -9.43%E -6.55%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -12.51%E -2.50%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -15.10%E -3.49%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-09 13:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.53%EV -9.43%E -6.55%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.37%EV -10.76%E -2.11%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.10%EV -17.64%E -4.20%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-09 13:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.53%EV -9.43%E -6.55%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.37%EV -10.76%E -2.11%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.10%EV -17.64%E -4.20%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-09 13:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.53%EV -9.43%E -6.55%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.37%EV -10.76%E -2.11%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.10%EV -17.64%E -4.20%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-09 13:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.53%EV -9.43%E -6.55%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.37%EV -10.76%E -2.11%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.10%EV -17.64%E -4.20%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-09 13:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.53%EV -9.43%E -6.55%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.37%EV -10.76%E -2.11%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.10%EV -17.64%E -4.20%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-09 13:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.53%EV -9.43%E -6.55%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.37%EV -10.76%E -2.11%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.10%EV -17.64%E -4.20%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-09 13:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.53%EV -9.43%E -6.55%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.37%EV -10.76%E -2.11%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.10%EV -17.64%E -4.20%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-09 13:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.43%E -6.55%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -12.51%E -2.50%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -21.57%E -5.39%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-09 13:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.43%E -6.55%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -12.51%E -2.50%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -21.57%E -5.39%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-09 13:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.43%E -6.55%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -12.51%E -2.50%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -21.57%E -5.39%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-09 13:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.43%E -6.55%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -12.51%E -2.50%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -21.57%E -5.39%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-09 13:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -11.95%E -8.54%K -29.87%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.04%EV -7.26%E -1.37%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.43%EV -3.92%E -0.800%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-09 13:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.18%EV -11.95%E -8.54%K -29.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.03%EV -21.26%E -4.72%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.78%EV -15.10%E -3.49%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 61.16%EV -14.47%E -10.64%K -40.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 17.51%EV -16.88%E -3.55%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.33%EV -23.53%E -6.03%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-05-09 13:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.10% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 13:44 |