Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bayer Leverkusen v VfL Wolfsburg

2026-08-30 14:00 UTC — Frauen-Bundesliga

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

30%

45%

26%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bayer Leverkusen (Local)

Prediction 29.61%3.38fair odd

EV -7.60%

Edge -2.44%

Kelly -3.59%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

29.28%29.61%29.61%30.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.883.033.003.1234.72%33.02%33.33%32.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

VfL Wolfsburg (Visit)

Prediction 44.62%2.24fair odd

EV -8.53%

Edge -4.16%

Kelly -8.13%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

44.00%44.51%44.62%45.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.912.012.012.0552.36%49.82%49.75%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.77%3.88fair odd

EV -7.24%

Edge -2.01%

Kelly -2.78%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

25.25%25.88%25.77%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.303.463.503.6030.30%28.88%28.57%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Bayer Leverkusen (Local): 29.61%; VfL Wolfsburg (Visit): 44.62%; Draw: 25.77%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.88. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.60, with an expected value of -7.24%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Pinnacle🎯	3.12I 32.05%NM 29.36%EV -7.60%E -2.44%K -3.59%G +0.000%	2.03I 49.26%NM 45.12%EV -9.42%E -4.64%K -9.15%G +0.000%	3.59I 27.86%NM 25.52%EV -7.49%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-08-27 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.20%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.53%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.78%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-08-27 14:10
1xBet🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.20%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%	2.01I 49.75%NM 45.16%EV -10.32%E -5.13%K -10.21%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -8.53%E -2.40%K -3.34%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-08-27 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -11.16%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.53%E -4.16%K -8.13%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.81%E -2.80%K -3.93%G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-08-27 15:15
888sport🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -11.16%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -10.76%E -5.38%K -10.76%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -14.97%E -4.54%K -6.51%G +0.000%	13.6%	2026-08-27 13:55
William Hill🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -11.16%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -10.76%E -5.38%K -10.76%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -14.97%E -4.54%K -6.51%G +0.000%	13.6%	2026-08-27 13:55
BoyleSports🎯	2.88I 34.72%NM 29.81%EV -14.71%E -5.11%K -7.83%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -14.78%E -7.74%K -16.24%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -12.39%E -3.64%K -5.16%G +0.000%	16.5%	2026-08-27 15:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.