Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bayer Leverkusen v SC Freiburg

Kickoff: 2026-04-26 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Bayer Leverkusen (Local)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -60.61%
Kelly -153.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.10%0.00%0.00%54.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.651.651.6560.61%60.61%60.61%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SC Freiburg (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -24.39%
Kelly -32.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.77%0.00%0.00%21.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.104.104.1024.39%24.39%24.39%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -27.03%
Kelly -37.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.13%0.00%0.00%24.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.703.703.7027.03%27.03%27.03%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bayer Leverkusen (Local): 0.00%; SC Freiburg (Visit): 0.00%; Draw: 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.10%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%12.0%2026-04-23 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.10%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%12.0%2026-04-23 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.10%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%12.0%2026-04-23 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.10%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%12.0%2026-04-23 14:20
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.10%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%12.0%2026-04-23 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.10%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%12.0%2026-04-23 14:19
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.10%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%12.0%2026-04-23 14:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.10%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%12.0%2026-04-23 14:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.10%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%12.0%2026-04-23 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.10%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%12.0%2026-04-23 14:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.