預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Bayer Leverkusen v Bayern Munich

開賽時間： 2026-09-14 16:02 UTC

最終賽果： Bayer Leverkusen 2–3 Bayern Munich

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

22 家博彩公司 (5 家納入分析 )

12%

71%

17%

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Bayer Leverkusen (主隊)

預測 11.96%8.36公平賠率

EV +3.46%

優勢 +0.400%

Kelly +0.452%

成長率 +0.016%

假設最高賠率為 8.65

博彩公司預測分布

10.43%11.88%11.98%14.61%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

6.106.927.008.6516.39%14.44%14.29%11.56%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Bayern Munich (客隊)

預測 71.08%1.41公平賠率

EV -4.05%

優勢 -3.00%

Kelly -11.56%

成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.35

博彩公司預測分布

66.02%71.10%70.82%73.32%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

1.201.301.291.3583.33%77.00%77.52%74.07%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 16.96%5.90公平賠率

EV -3.83%

優勢 -0.675%

Kelly -0.819%

成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 5.67

博彩公司預測分布

16.17%17.01%17.20%19.37%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

4.504.914.805.6722.22%20.36%20.83%17.64%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Bayer Leverkusen (主隊)：11.96%；Bayern Munich (客隊)：71.08%；和局：16.96%。對於「Bayer Leverkusen (主隊)」，該估計相當於8.36的公平十進位賠率。當時有2家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為8.65，對應+3.46%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (22 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司	主隊 ▼	客隊	和局	利潤率	更新時間
1xBet🎯	8.65I 11.56%NM 10.43%EV +3.46%E +0.400%K +0.452%G +0.016%	1.23I 81.30%NM 73.32%EV -12.57%E -10.22%K -54.67%G +0.000%	5.55I 18.02%NM 16.25%EV -5.86%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-09-14 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯	8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV +1.67%E +0.196%K +0.222%G +0.004%	1.25I 80.00%NM 72.08%EV -11.15%E -8.92%K -44.61%G +0.000%	5.20I 19.23%NM 17.33%EV -11.80%E -2.27%K -2.81%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-09-14 15:01
Pinnacle🎯	8.28I 12.08%NM 11.14%EV -0.966%E -0.117%K -0.133%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 72.60%EV -9.73%E -7.66%K -36.04%G +0.000%	5.67I 17.64%NM 16.26%EV -3.83%E -0.675%K -0.819%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-09-14 15:45
888sport🎯	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -10.30%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -8.31%E -6.44%K -28.66%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -15.19%E -3.04%K -3.80%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-09-14 15:51
William Hill🎯	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -10.30%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -8.31%E -6.44%K -28.66%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -15.19%E -3.04%K -3.80%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-09-14 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -10.30%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -8.31%E -6.44%K -28.66%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -15.19%E -3.04%K -3.80%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-09-14 15:51
Mr Green (SE)🎯	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -10.30%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -8.31%E -6.44%K -28.66%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -15.19%E -3.04%K -3.80%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-09-14 15:51
Unibet (UK)🎯	7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -16.28%E -2.33%K -2.71%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.60%E -5.85%K -25.33%G +0.000%	5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -10.95%E -2.09%K -2.58%G +0.000%	10.3%	2026-09-14 15:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	7.00I 14.29%NM 12.82%EV -16.28%E -2.33%K -2.71%G +0.000%	1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -9.02%E -7.05%K -32.22%G +0.000%	5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -10.95%E -2.09%K -2.58%G +0.000%	11.5%	2026-09-14 15:35
Coral🎯	7.00I 14.29%NM 12.82%EV -16.28%E -2.33%K -2.71%G +0.000%	1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -9.02%E -7.05%K -32.22%G +0.000%	5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -10.95%E -2.09%K -2.58%G +0.000%	11.5%	2026-09-14 15:35
BoyleSports🎯	7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -16.28%E -2.33%K -2.71%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 71.13%EV -11.15%E -8.92%K -44.61%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -6.71%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%	12.5%	2026-09-14 15:40
betano_uk🎯	7.00I 14.29%NM 11.92%EV -16.28%E -2.33%K -2.71%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 69.54%EV -14.71%E -12.26%K -73.54%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 18.54%EV -23.67%E -5.26%K -6.76%G +0.000%	19.8%	2026-09-14 15:14
Bet Victor🎯	7.00I 14.29%NM 11.92%EV -16.28%E -2.33%K -2.71%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 69.54%EV -14.71%E -12.26%K -73.54%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 18.54%EV -23.67%E -5.26%K -6.76%G +0.000%	19.8%	2026-09-14 15:45
Unibet (NL)🎯	6.10I 16.39%NM 14.61%EV -27.04%E -4.43%K -5.30%G +0.000%	1.35I 74.07%NM 66.02%EV -4.05%E -3.00%K -11.56%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -21.97%E -4.78%K -6.10%G +0.000%	12.2%	2026-09-14 15:15
Unibet (SE)🎯	6.10I 16.39%NM 14.61%EV -27.04%E -4.43%K -5.30%G +0.000%	1.35I 74.07%NM 66.02%EV -4.05%E -3.00%K -11.56%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -21.97%E -4.78%K -6.10%G +0.000%	12.2%	2026-09-14 15:15
LiveScore Bet🎯	6.10I 16.39%NM 14.61%EV -27.04%E -4.43%K -5.30%G +0.000%	1.35I 74.07%NM 66.02%EV -4.05%E -3.00%K -11.56%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -21.97%E -4.78%K -6.10%G +0.000%	12.2%	2026-09-14 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	6.10I 16.39%NM 14.61%EV -27.04%E -4.43%K -5.30%G +0.000%	1.35I 74.07%NM 66.02%EV -4.05%E -3.00%K -11.56%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -21.97%E -4.78%K -6.10%G +0.000%	12.2%	2026-09-14 15:15
Virgin Bet🎯	6.10I 16.39%NM 14.61%EV -27.04%E -4.43%K -5.30%G +0.000%	1.35I 74.07%NM 66.02%EV -4.05%E -3.00%K -11.56%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -21.97%E -4.78%K -6.10%G +0.000%	12.2%	2026-09-14 15:15
Grosvenor🎯	6.10I 16.39%NM 14.61%EV -27.04%E -4.43%K -5.30%G +0.000%	1.35I 74.07%NM 66.02%EV -4.05%E -3.00%K -11.56%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -21.97%E -4.78%K -6.10%G +0.000%	12.2%	2026-09-14 15:15
Svenska Spel🎯	6.10I 16.39%NM 14.61%EV -27.04%E -4.43%K -5.30%G +0.000%	1.35I 74.07%NM 66.02%EV -4.05%E -3.00%K -11.56%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -21.97%E -4.78%K -6.10%G +0.000%	12.2%	2026-09-14 15:15
ATG (SE)🎯	6.10I 16.39%NM 14.61%EV -27.04%E -4.43%K -5.30%G +0.000%	1.35I 74.07%NM 66.02%EV -4.05%E -3.00%K -11.56%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -21.97%E -4.78%K -6.10%G +0.000%	12.2%	2026-09-14 15:15
Unibet🎯	6.10I 16.39%NM 14.61%EV -27.04%E -4.43%K -5.30%G +0.000%	1.35I 74.07%NM 66.02%EV -4.05%E -3.00%K -11.56%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -21.97%E -4.78%K -6.10%G +0.000%	12.2%	2026-09-14 15:15

利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。