Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

1. FC Nürnberg v Bayer Leverkusen

2026-10-25 15:00 UTC — Frauen-Bundesliga

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

1. FC Nürnberg (Local)

Prediction 12.39%8.07fair odd
EV -0.873%
Edge -0.109%
Kelly -0.125%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.28%12.39%12.47%14.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.556.008.0016.67%15.26%16.67%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bayer Leverkusen (Visit)

Prediction 70.44%1.42fair odd
EV -4.90%
Edge -3.63%
Kelly -14.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.86%70.44%70.93%71.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.321.351.3580.00%75.61%74.07%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.17%5.82fair odd
EV -5.40%
Edge -0.981%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.30%17.17%16.61%19.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.604.794.605.5121.74%20.86%21.74%18.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: 1. FC Nürnberg (Local): 12.39%; Bayer Leverkusen (Visit): 70.44%; Draw: 17.17%. For 1. FC Nürnberg (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.07. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 8.00, with an expected value of -0.873%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.28%EV -0.873%E -0.109%K -0.125%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.03%EV -10.54%E -8.30%K -39.04%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -12.44%E -2.44%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-22 14:50
Tipico (DE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -7.07%E -0.943%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -11.95%E -9.56%K -47.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -5.58%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-22 16:05
Pinnacle🎯7.34I 13.62%NM 12.47%EV -9.05%E -1.23%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -9.13%E -7.08%K -31.49%G +0.000%5.51I 18.15%NM 16.61%EV -5.40%E -0.981%K -1.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-22 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -13.26%E -1.89%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -17.59%E -3.67%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-22 14:45
888sport🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -13.26%E -1.89%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -17.59%E -3.67%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-22 14:50
William Hill🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -13.26%E -1.89%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -17.59%E -3.67%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-22 14:50
888sport (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -13.26%E -1.89%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -8.43%E -6.48%K -28.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -17.59%E -3.67%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-22 14:50
LiveScore Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -25.66%E -4.28%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 65.86%EV -4.90%E -3.63%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -21.03%E -4.57%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-22 15:05
Unibet (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -25.66%E -4.28%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 65.86%EV -4.90%E -3.63%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -21.03%E -4.57%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-22 15:05
Unibet (NL)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -25.66%E -4.28%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 65.86%EV -4.90%E -3.63%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -21.03%E -4.57%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-22 15:05
Grosvenor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -25.66%E -4.28%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 65.86%EV -4.90%E -3.63%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -21.03%E -4.57%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-22 15:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -25.66%E -4.28%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 65.86%EV -4.90%E -3.63%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -21.03%E -4.57%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-22 15:04
Unibet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -25.66%E -4.28%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 65.86%EV -4.90%E -3.63%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -21.03%E -4.57%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-22 15:05
Virgin Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -25.66%E -4.28%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 65.86%EV -4.90%E -3.63%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -21.03%E -4.57%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-22 15:04
Svenska Spel🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -25.66%E -4.28%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 65.86%EV -4.90%E -3.63%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -21.03%E -4.57%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-22 15:05
ATG (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -25.66%E -4.28%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 65.86%EV -4.90%E -3.63%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -21.03%E -4.57%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-22 15:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.