Language:English
1. FC Nürnberg v 1. FC Köln
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
1. FC Nürnberg (Local)
assuming max odds 4.41
1. FC Köln (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.78
Draw
assuming max odds 3.90
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: 1. FC Nürnberg (Local): 22.04%; 1. FC Köln (Visit): 53.05%; Draw: 24.92%. For 1. FC Nürnberg (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.54. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.41, with an expected value of -2.82%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.16%EV -2.82%E -0.640%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.62%EV -7.70%E -4.42%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.81%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 14:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.73%EV -5.24%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.42%EV -16.19%E -10.24%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86%EV -2.82%E -0.724%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-22 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.73%EV -5.24%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.42%EV -16.19%E -10.24%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86%EV -2.82%E -0.724%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-22 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.73%EV -5.24%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.42%EV -16.19%E -10.24%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.86%EV -2.82%E -0.724%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-22 14:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.66%EV -5.24%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.57%EV -16.72%E -10.65%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.77%EV -2.82%E -0.724%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-22 14:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.66%EV -5.24%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.57%EV -16.72%E -10.65%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.77%EV -2.82%E -0.724%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-22 14:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.66%EV -5.24%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.57%EV -16.72%E -10.65%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.77%EV -2.82%E -0.724%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-22 14:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.66%EV -5.24%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.57%EV -16.72%E -10.65%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.77%EV -2.82%E -0.724%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-22 14:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.66%EV -5.24%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.57%EV -16.72%E -10.65%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.77%EV -2.82%E -0.724%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-22 14:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -9.65%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.00%EV -9.82%E -5.78%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -10.30%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-22 14:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.09I 24.45%NM 22.83%EV -9.87%E -2.41%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.46%EV -5.58%E -3.13%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.70%EV -5.81%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -11.86%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.17%E -4.10%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.56%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-22 08:54 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.