赔率学院

1. FC Köln v Werder Bremen

开赛时间： 2026-05-02 11:04 UTC

最终结果： 1. FC Köln 3–0 Werder Bremen

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

15 家博彩公司 (3 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

1. FC Köln (主队)

预测 33.38%3.00公平赔率
EV -5.53%
优势 -1.95%
Kelly -3.02%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.83

博彩公司预测分布
33.05%33.38%33.47%37.01%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.382.492.402.8342.02%40.13%41.67%35.34%MIN均值中位数MAX

Werder Bremen (客队)

预测 40.96%2.44公平赔率
EV +0.362%
优势 +0.148%
Kelly +0.250%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 2.45

博彩公司预测分布
36.65%40.96%40.75%42.15%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.152.352.402.4546.51%42.49%41.67%40.82%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 25.65%3.90公平赔率
EV -3.79%
优势 -1.01%
Kelly -1.38%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.75

博彩公司预测分布
24.73%25.65%25.77%27.83%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.003.403.403.7533.33%29.38%29.41%26.67%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (15 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 36.95%EV -18.88%E -7.77%K -13.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.65%EV +0.362%E +0.148%K +0.250%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -12.77%E -3.76%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-02 11:00
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 36.95%EV -18.88%E -7.77%K -13.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.65%EV +0.362%E +0.148%K +0.250%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -12.77%E -3.76%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-02 11:00
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 36.95%EV -18.88%E -7.77%K -13.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.65%EV +0.362%E +0.148%K +0.250%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -12.77%E -3.76%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-02 11:00
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -19.89%E -8.29%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -1.69%E -0.702%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.77%E -3.76%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-02 11:00
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -19.89%E -8.29%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -1.69%E -0.702%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.77%E -3.76%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-02 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -19.89%E -8.29%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -1.69%E -0.702%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.77%E -3.76%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-02 11:00
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -19.89%E -8.29%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -1.69%E -0.702%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.77%E -3.76%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-02 11:00
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -19.89%E -8.29%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -1.69%E -0.702%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.77%E -3.76%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-02 11:00
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -19.89%E -8.29%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -1.69%E -0.702%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.77%E -3.76%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-02 11:00
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.01%EV -20.55%E -8.64%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.70%EV -1.69%E -0.702%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.29%EV -14.06%E -4.20%K -5.98%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-02 11:00
1xBet2.83I 35.34%NM 33.05%EV -5.53%E -1.95%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.28%EV -8.67%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 10:59
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.87%E -3.66%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -12.77%E -3.76%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 11:00
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 35.07%EV -20.55%E -8.64%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.10%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.83%EV -23.04%E -7.68%K -11.52%G +0.000%19.8%2026-05-02 10:59
Pinnacle2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -6.53%E -2.33%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -9.88%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -3.79%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 10:59
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -13.21%E -5.08%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -11.93%E -5.55%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -12.77%E -3.76%K -5.32%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-02 11:00
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。