The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

1. FC Köln v Eintracht Frankfurt

Kickoff: 2026-03-28 16:55 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

1. FC Köln (Local)

Prediction 19.96%5.01fair odd
EV -4.19%
Edge -0.872%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.77%19.96%19.96%24.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.793.554.8028.17%26.37%28.17%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Eintracht Frankfurt (Visit)

Prediction 57.64%1.73fair odd
EV -0.863%
Edge -0.502%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.46%57.64%57.64%58.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.671.721.7266.67%59.80%58.14%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.40%4.46fair odd
EV -4.80%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.39%22.40%22.40%23.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.823.754.2527.78%26.17%26.67%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: 1. FC Köln (Local): 19.96%; Eintracht Frankfurt (Visit): 57.64%; Draw: 22.40%. For Eintracht Frankfurt (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.73. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.72, with an expected value of -0.863%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -4.19%E -0.872%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.13%EV -10.66%E -6.88%K -19.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -12.64%E -3.24%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-27 22:45
1xBet🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 19.98%EV -9.18%E -2.02%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.64%EV -10.66%E -6.88%K -19.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.39%EV -4.80%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-28 02:39
Pinnacle🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -13.17%E -3.03%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.15%EV -7.20%E -4.47%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 21.70%EV -5.02%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-28 00:20
Bet Victor🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 21.35%EV -22.15%E -5.68%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 55.52%EV -13.54%E -9.03%K -27.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.13%EV -19.36%E -5.38%K -7.44%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-27 16:05
LiveScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -29.14%E -8.21%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.46%EV -0.863%E -0.502%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -16.00%E -4.27%K -5.82%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-27 23:30
Grosvenor🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -29.14%E -8.21%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.46%EV -0.863%E -0.502%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -16.00%E -4.27%K -5.82%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-27 23:30
LeoVegas🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -29.14%E -8.21%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.46%EV -0.863%E -0.502%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -16.00%E -4.27%K -5.82%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-27 23:30
Unibet (NL)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -29.14%E -8.21%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.46%EV -0.863%E -0.502%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -16.00%E -4.27%K -5.82%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-27 23:30
Unibet (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -29.14%E -8.21%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.46%EV -0.863%E -0.502%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -16.00%E -4.27%K -5.82%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-27 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -29.14%E -8.21%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.46%EV -0.863%E -0.502%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -16.00%E -4.27%K -5.82%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-27 23:30
Unibet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -29.14%E -8.21%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.46%EV -0.863%E -0.502%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -16.00%E -4.27%K -5.82%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-27 23:30
Virgin Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -29.14%E -8.21%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.46%EV -0.863%E -0.502%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -16.00%E -4.27%K -5.82%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-27 23:30
ATG (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -29.14%E -8.21%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.46%EV -0.863%E -0.502%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -16.00%E -4.27%K -5.82%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-27 23:30
Svenska Spel🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -29.14%E -8.21%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.46%EV -0.863%E -0.502%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -16.00%E -4.27%K -5.82%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-27 23:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.